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The latest Bet Better model pick for Clayton Faulalo is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 21, 12:37PM UTC
NRL

Clayton Faulalo

NRL

+0.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +15000 (151.00) · $100→$15,100
+0.5% Edge
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ Newcastle Knights
Sat 22 Aug, 5:00AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 1.2% · the book's price implies 0.7% · gap +0.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over1.2%—0.7%82.61+0.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Newcastle Knights vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: Clayton Faulalo Over 2.5 Tries (+15000)

Odds available at Unibet at time of publishing

On Saturday 22 August 2026, Newcastle Knights host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Clayton Faulalo Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Clayton Faulalo scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +15000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1510 if it lands. That price was showing at Unibet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Clayton Faulalo is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Clayton Faulalo is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights on Saturday 22 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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