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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Samrani is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 21, 12:33PM UTC
NRL

Jordan Samrani

NRL

+0.1% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +12500 (126.00) · $100→$12,600
+0.1% Edge
Parramatta Eels @ Dolphins
Fri 21 Aug, 10:00AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 0.9% · the book's price implies 0.8% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over0.9%0.8%+0.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Dolphins vs Parramatta Eels: Jordan Samrani Over 2.5 Tries (+12500)

Odds available at TABtouch at time of publishing

On Friday 21 August 2026, Dolphins host Parramatta Eels in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Samrani Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Jordan Samrani scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +12500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1260 if it lands. That price was showing at TABtouch. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Jordan Samrani has scored a try in each of his last 3 games. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jordan Samrani is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. Jordan Samrani is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jordan Samrani is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins on Friday 21 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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