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Model picks & player props
AFL
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Outdoor
Fri 10 Jul 2026, 7:40 PM AEST
North Melbourne Kangaroos
VS
Collingwood Magpies

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 15 markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies and backs North Melbourne Kangaroos hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $530.

5
Game markets graded
10
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
North Melbourne Kangaroos
to win
North Melbourne Kangaroos Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$53.00Best price+430
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win59.2%
The price says18.9%

The model graded 15 markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $530 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 10 Jul 2026, 7:40 PM AEST at Marvel Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline North Melbourne Kangaroos Lean59% chance +430
Total Points Members only High71% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High72% chance Members
Disposals × 7 props Highup to 83% Members
Goals × 3 props Highup to 91% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

North Melbourne Kangaroos and Collingwood Magpies last met on Fri 10 Jul 2026: Collingwood Magpies won 89-85. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every AFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
North Melbourne Kangaroos
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
North Melbourne KangaroosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kangaroos

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Magpies

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Isaac Quaynor Collingwood Disposals
Jack Crisp Collingwood Disposals
Jeremy Howe Collingwood Disposals
Finn O'Sullivan North Melbourne Disposals
Jack Buller Collingwood Goals

+ 10 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Collingwood Magpies — what the model found

Our model graded 15 betting markets for North Melbourne Kangaroos at Collingwood Magpies — 5 on the game itself and 10 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded
10
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 15 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 14 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Collingwood Magpies — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for Collingwood Magpies vs North Melbourne Kangaroos. Includes analysis on key players like Finn O'Sullivan. Discover AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Collingwood Magpies vs North Melbourne Kangaroos stats and odds.

Finn O'Sullivan (North Melbourne) Over 17.5 Disposals (-159)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Finn O'Sullivan is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against Collingwood at Marvel Stadium. With an average of 17.6 disposals over his last five away games, he's been a midfield dynamo, consistently finding the footy and making an impact. His ability to maintain a solid 78.7% disposal efficiency under pressure showcases his composure in tight contests. Against Collingwood specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 13 disposals in their last encounters. O'Sullivan's recent form, with solid numbers across contested possessions, kicks, and uncontested possessions, points to him comfortably surpassing the 17.5 disposal line. Look for Finn to rack up the possessions, control the midfield, and help drive the Kangaroos to victory.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Kangaroos vs Magpies, or as Magpies vs Kangaroos. The most recent game between them was Friday 10 July 2026 at Marvel Stadium. The model has generated 5 game picks and 10 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
North Melbourne Kangaroos 2–1 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Fri 10 Jul 2026, North Melbourne Kangaroos at Collingwood Magpies: Collingwood Magpies won 89-85.

DateGameScoreWinner
10 Jul 2026North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Collingwood Magpies89–85Collingwood Magpies
8 Jun 2026Melbourne @ Collingwood Magpies75–83Melbourne
1 Mar 2026Collingwood Magpies @ North Melbourne Kangaroos90–89North Melbourne Kangaroos
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