Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor Hellebuyck is Over 21.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 61%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +4.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC
NHL

Connor Hellebuyck

Winnipeg Jets

+4.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 21.5 -130 (1.77)
+4.5% Edge
Winnipeg Jets @ St Louis Blues
Enterprise Center, FUT · Indoor
Fri 10 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
61.0%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+4.5%
Predicted Value
24.1 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves61.0%56.5%1.64+4.5%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Connor Hellebuyck (Winnipeg Jets) Over 21.5 Saves (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Looking at the upcoming St.Louis Blues vs. Winnipeg Jets game, one player to keenly eye is Connor Hellebuyck, the Jets' netminder. Hellebuyck has been a veritable brick wall in the crease recently, even when away from home. Over his last 5 away games, he's been stopping an average of 20 shots - and that's when he's only seeing around 22.6 shots per match. Now, let's consider the Blues' offense, which has been known to fire off pucks like it's going out of style. Put those two together, and the chances of Hellebuyck climbing over that 21.5 saves line look promising. The fact that he's hit the mark in 12 of his last 18 away games only adds to our confidence. So, let's bank on Hellebuyck's laser-sharp focus and cat-like reflexes to bring in the win.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.1projected saves (model)
Line21.5Model proj24.1Last oppSt Louis BluesListed10

Connor Hellebuyck (Winnipeg Jets) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.1 saves against a market line of 21.5 vs St Louis Blues. 10 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Seattle Kraken @ Winnipeg Jets Saves 21.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Connor Hellebuyck (Winnipeg Jets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor Hellebuyck is Over 21.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.5% on this pick. Their next game is Winnipeg Jets vs St Louis Blues on Friday 10 April at Enterprise Center. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks