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The latest Bet Better model pick for Casey DeSmith is Over 21.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 66%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +13.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NHL

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars

+13.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 21.5 -110 (1.91)
+13.6% Edge
Seattle Kraken @ Dallas Stars
American Airlines Center, Dallas, FUT · Indoor
Thu 26 Feb, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
65.9%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Model Edge
+13.6%
Predicted Value
25.2 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves65.9%—52.4%1.52+13.6%

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) Over 21.5 Saves (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Our man between the pipes tonight is Casey DeSmith, and let me tell you why we're backing him to make over 21.5 saves when the Dallas Stars take on the Seattle Kraken. When DeSmith stands guard on home ice, he's a wall. His average saves in his last five home games? A solid 24.4. That's not just clearing the line; it's smashing it. Last five games he's faced an average of 26.4 shots, so the Kraken's offense will have to bring their A-game to penetrate DeSmith's fortress. And they've been successful in 4 of their last 5 attempts, indicating a hot streak. Let's not forget his overall hit rate in the last 19 games, a noteworthy 15/19. So there you have it - DeSmith's glove is hot, and we're banking on him to turn those pucks away tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
25.2projected saves (model)
Line21.5Model proj25.2Last oppSEAListed6

Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 25.2 saves against a market line of 21.5 vs SEA. 6 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Casey DeSmith is Over 21.5 on Saves. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.6% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars on Thursday 26 February at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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