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NHL

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars

Value call

Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) has one live pick today: under 26.5 saves that pays $177 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
23.2 saves
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.3% · before adjusting for past results 64.5% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap -0.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche
Ball Arena, Colorado, FUT · Indoor
Wed 14 Oct, 8:30 PM ET
Casey DeSmith
under 26.5 saves
Saves Under 26.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.70 Odds-130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Casey DeSmith is Under 26.5 on Saves.
On Saves, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 12:25PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves64.5%56.3%56.5%1.78+8.0%

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AI Analysis

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Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars: Casey DeSmith Under 26.5 Saves (-130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

At Ball Arena, the Colorado Avalanche take on the Dallas Stars. Both teams have been pretty even lately, each winning 4 out of their last 10 games. Casey DeSmith is in goal for Colorado, and he may not face too many shots. With both teams struggling to find the net consistently, it seems likely he won't need to make a ton of saves. The risk here is that if the game turns into a high-scoring affair, DeSmith could face more shots than expected. However, our numbers suggest there's a good chance he stays under 26.5 saves. Given how both teams are playing right now, this bet looks solid for the matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
23.2projected saves (model)
Line26.5Model proj23.2Last oppCOLListed7

Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 23.2 saves against a market line of 26.5 vs COL. 7 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Oct 26 Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche Saves 26.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Casey DeSmith is Under 26.5 on Saves. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday 14 October at Ball Arena, Colorado. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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