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Model picks & player props
Winnipeg Jets
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins

Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks & Predictions · Mon 5 Oct

Our model graded 3 markets for Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins and backs Winnipeg Jets 1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $151.

NHL
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Indoor
Mon 5 Oct 2026, 11:30PM
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Winnipeg Jets 1.5 Spread -196

The model graded 3 markets for Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $151 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 5 Oct 2026, 11:30PM at PPG Paints Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win75.1%
The price says66.2%
Best price-196
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Winnipeg Jets 1.5 High75% chance -196
3-Way Moneyline Members only Lean41% chance Members
Spread Members only High64% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Penguins about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Winnipeg Jetsabout 4 in 10$2.55 (+155)$2.48 (+148)
Penguinsabout 6 in 10$1.64 (-156)$1.59 (-169)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.40 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 25 books we check.

All NHL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Winnipeg Jets
+1.5
+ 2 more markets
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All 3 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 60,372+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Winnipeg JetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg Jets3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Over on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Over
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Under
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Winnipeg Jets

  • Connor Hellebuyck GOut
  • Garrett Brown COut
  • Walker Duehr RWOut
  • Elias Salomonsson DOut

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Bryan Rust RWOut
  • Justin Brazeau RWOut
  • Ryan Graves DOut
Availability updated Oct 2, 8:25PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Pittsburgh PenguinsNo line posted
4-1last 5 record
GF/G4.0GA/G2.0Shots/G30.6vs Jets2-3

Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePittsburgh Penguins +1.5No line posted
4-1last 5 record
GF/G4.0GA/G2.0Shots/G30.6vs Jets2-3

Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent results

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 3 of their last 5 games; Winnipeg Jets have won 2 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Penguins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–5MTLHome
W7–0PHIAway
W3–1BUFAway
L0–4CBJAway
L4–7DETHome
Winnipeg Jets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2DETAway
L3–4BOSHome
L2–5COLAway
L1–2EDMHome
W3–1COLHome

Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, Winnipeg Jets won 0.

DatePittsburgh PenguinsWinnipeg JetsWinner
Mar 2154Pittsburgh Penguins

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Penguins
PlayerStatus
Bryan Rust RWOUT
Justin Brazeau RWOUT
Ryan Graves DOUT
Winnipeg Jets
PlayerStatus
Connor Hellebuyck GOUT
Garrett Brown COUT
Walker Duehr RWOUT
Elias Salomonsson DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins — where the money went

Since betting opened on Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins, the market has moved toward Over across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Over 6.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 6.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Winnipeg Jets▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Pittsburgh Penguins▲ Money came for this
Spread — Winnipeg Jets 1.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Jets vs Penguins, or as Penguins vs Jets. The next scheduled game is Monday 5 October 2026 at PPG Paints Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Pittsburgh Penguins 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 21 Mar 2026, Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins: the Penguins won 5-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
21 Mar 2026Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins5–4Pittsburgh Penguins
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