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NHL

Erik Karlsson

Pittsburgh Penguins

Value call

Erik Karlsson (Pittsburgh Penguins) has one live pick today: over 2.5 shots on goal that pays $246 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
33 in 100
Predicted
2.0 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 32.9% · before adjusting for past results 43.0% · the book's price implies 40.7% · gap -7.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nationwide Arena, Columbus, FUT · Indoor
Fri 9 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Erik Karlsson
over 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 2.5 +146 (2.46) · $100→$246
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 33 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$24.60 Odds+146
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Erik Karlsson is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 33 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 33%, the price says 41%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 12:39PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal43.0%32.9%40.7%3.04+2.4%

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AI Analysis

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Columbus Blue Jackets vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Erik Karlsson Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+146)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Erik Karlsson has been a solid player for the Pittsburgh Penguins, and he's a big part of their attack, especially with how many left-handed shooters they have on the team. The Penguins have won just four of their last ten games, which shows they can struggle at times, but Karlsson often steps up when needed. The bet is for him to have over 2.5 shots on goal against the Columbus Blue Jackets. With Pittsburgh's need to score and Karlsson's role, he should find plenty of chances to shoot. The risk here is that the Penguins are still figuring things out this season, which might affect their overall performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Erik Karlsson has 1 goals and 8 assists (9 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
24 Oct 26vs NSH0112126:12
22 Oct 26vs FLA0003024:09
19 Oct 26@ UTA1121027:40
17 Oct 26@ VGK0111021:56
16 Oct 26@ COL0112020:57
13 Oct 26@ CHI0221020:24
10 Oct 26vs DAL0002027:10
9 Oct 26@ CBJ0110024:50
7 Oct 26@ WSH0004024:44
5 Oct 26vs WPG0111124:00
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Oct 26 Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins Shots on Goal 2.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
09 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Penguins @ Columbus Blue Jackets Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Erik Karlsson (Pittsburgh Penguins) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Erik Karlsson is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Penguins vs Columbus Blue Jackets on Friday 9 October at Nationwide Arena, Columbus. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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