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Model picks & player props
Calgary Flames
VS
Florida Panthers

Calgary Flames vs Florida Panthers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Amerant Bank Arena, Florida
Indoor
Fri 28 Nov 2025, 9:00PM
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Calgary Flames 1.5 (Puck Line)
For Calgary Flames vs Florida Panthers (NHL), model win probability 66.0%, fair odds 1.52, book price -169, model edge +3.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Fri 28 Nov 2025, 9:00PM at Amerant Bank Arena.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Puck Line
Calgary Flames
1.5
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Calgary FlamesPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Calgary Flames

  • Kevin Bahl DOut
  • Connor Zary COut
  • Yan Kuznetsov DOut

Florida Panthers

  • Radko Gudas DOut
  • Jacob Markstrom GOut
  • Carter Verhaeghe COut
  • Sam Bennett COut
  • Gustav Forsling DOut
  • Tomas Nosek LWOut
  • Seth Jones DOut
  • Dmitry Kulikov DOut
  • Uvis Balinskis DOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 3:41PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Calgary Flames vs Florida Panthers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Florida PanthersNo line posted

Calgary Flames @ Florida Panthers moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineCalgary Flames +1.5No line posted

Calgary Flames @ Florida Panthers puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Calgary Flames @ Florida Panthers total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Calgary Flames @ Florida Panthers — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Florida Panthers vs Calgary Flames. Includes analysis on key players like Brad Marchand. Discover NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Florida Panthers vs Calgary Flames stats and odds.</p>

Florida Panthers vs Calgary Flames : Calgary Flames +1.5 (-169)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Calgary Flames +1.5 in the 'Puck Line' market is supported by several key factors. Firstly, the Flames have a superior head-to-head record against the Panthers, with a 4-1 record in their last 5 encounters. This suggests they have consistently outperformed Florida in recent match-ups. Secondly, while both teams have an identical overall record (3-2) in their last 5 games, the Flames have conceded fewer goals on average (2.6) compared to the Panthers (2.8). This steady defensive performance increases the likelihood of them keeping the score difference within 1.5 goals. Lastly, the model prediction of 0.06, despite having a high standard deviation, indicates a close game, further supporting the bet on Calgary Flames +1.5. Thus, considering the comparative team performance and model insights, the Calgary Flames +1.5 bet seems statistically reasonable.

Brad Marchand (Florida Panthers) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+140)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Brad Marchand has shown strong goal-scoring ability in his last 5 home games, averaging 0.8 goals per match. This aligns closely with his overall average of 0.8 goals across the last 5 games, demonstrating consistency regardless of venue. His shot rate at home is also slightly higher at 2.8, further increasing his chances of scoring. Additionally, his home games hit rate over the last 7 games is 5/7, indicating a high success rate of finding the net. Although his current overall hit streak is at zero, his home game hit streak stands at 1, suggesting he is maintaining his form at home. This data, combined with the model prediction of 0.43, suggests that Marchand has a significant chance of scoring in the upcoming game against the Calgary Flames, making a bet on him in the 'Anytime Goalscorer' market a statistically sound choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Calgary Flames vs Florida Panthers in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Friday 28 November 2025 at Amerant Bank Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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