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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Bennett is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 62%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 11:12PM UTC
NHL

Sam Bennett

Florida Panthers

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Under 2.5 -147 (1.68) · $100→$168
+2.9% Edge
Edmonton Oilers @ Florida Panthers
Amerant Bank Arena, Florida, FUT · Indoor
Sun 23 Nov, 12:00AM
OUT
out
updated Apr 15, 10:46PM UTC · 118d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
62.5%
Implied Probability
59.5%
Model Edge
+2.9%
Predicted Value
1.6 Shots on Goal

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal62.5%59.5%1.60+2.9%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Bennett (Florida Panthers) Under 2.5 Shots On Goal (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The prop bet on Sam Bennett for Under 2.5 in the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is backed by several key statistics. Bennett's current overall hit streak is at zero, indicating that he has recently underperformed in terms of shots on goal. Additionally, his average shots on goal in the last five home games is 2.2, which is below the line set at 2.5. His overall average in the last five games is even lower, at 2 shots per game. The model prediction for Bennett's performance is 1.56, which is significantly below the line. Despite having a decent hit rate in his last games, both at home and overall, the current trends and averages suggest that it's more likely for Bennett to stay under the 2.5 shots on goal line in the upcoming game against the Edmonton Oilers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Sam Bennett has 1 goals and 6 assists (7 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
9 Apr 26@ OTT0003117:44
7 Apr 26@ MTL0004120:48
5 Apr 26@ PIT0003121:28
4 Apr 26@ PIT0111014:53
2 Apr 26vs BOS1017019:52
31 Mar 26vs OTT0223017:19
26 Mar 26vs MIN0110118:52
24 Mar 26vs SEA0003018:59
20 Mar 26@ CGY0000017:13
19 Mar 26@ EDM0223116:26
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sam Bennett (Florida Panthers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Bennett is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers on Sunday 23 November at Amerant Bank Arena, Florida. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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