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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dustin Wolf is Under 29.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +17.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
NHL

Dustin Wolf

Calgary Flames

+17.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Under 29.5 -125 (1.80)
+17.3% Edge
Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche
Ball Arena, Colorado, FUT · Indoor
Fri 10 Apr, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
72.8%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+17.3%
Predicted Value
24.3 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves72.8%55.6%1.37+17.3%

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AI Analysis

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Dustin Wolf (Calgary Flames) Under 29.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When Dustin Wolf hits the ice against the Colorado Avalanche, it's a safe bet that he won't be working overtime in the crease. Over his last five away games, Wolf's been averaging a modest 21 saves, a fair bit lower than the 29.5 line we're looking at. Although the Avalanche are known for their offensive prowess, they've only been sending an average of 24.6 shots his way in those recent away games. And let's not forget Wolf's consistency - in his last six away games, he's been under the save line each time. He's also fallen under in 10 of his last 11 games overall. So while the Flames will be hoping for a big performance from Wolf, bettors might be better off expecting a more relaxed night between the pipes.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.3projected saves (model)
Line29.5Model proj24.3Last oppCOLListed12

Dustin Wolf (Calgary Flames) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.3 saves against a market line of 29.5 vs COL. 12 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Calgary Flames @ Colorado Avalanche Saves 29.5 Under -125 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Dustin Wolf (Calgary Flames) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dustin Wolf is Under 29.5 on Saves. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.3% on this pick. Their next game is Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche on Friday 10 April at Ball Arena, Colorado. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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