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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Kings
VS
Dallas Stars

Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:22AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Indoor
Tue 16 Dec 2025, 1:00AM
3
Game Picks
2
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Los Angeles Kings (Moneyline)
For Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars (NHL), model win probability 66.1%, fair odds 1.51, book price +108, model edge +18.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Tue 16 Dec 2025, 1:00AM at American Airlines Center.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Los Angeles Kings
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles KingsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Kings

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Dallas Stars

  • Arttu Hyry RWOut
  • Roope Hintz COut
  • Tyler Seguin COut
  • Nils Lundkvist DOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 6:06PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jason Robertson Dallas Stars Anytime Goal Scorer 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Casey DeSmith Dallas Stars Saves 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Los Angeles KingsNo line posted

Los Angeles Kings @ Dallas Stars moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineLos Angeles Kings +1.5No line posted

Los Angeles Kings @ Dallas Stars puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Los Angeles Kings @ Dallas Stars total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Los Angeles Kings @ Dallas Stars — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Dallas Stars vs Los Angeles Kings. Includes analysis on key players like Jason Robertson. Discover NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Dallas Stars vs Los Angeles Kings stats and odds.</p>

Jason Robertson (Dallas Stars) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+150)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jason Robertson to score at any time during the Dallas Stars vs Los Angeles Kings game is backed by his impressive performance in recent games. Over his last five home games, he has averaged 1.2 goals per game, suggesting a high probability of scoring. His shot average of 3.8 further strengthens this prediction, as more shots typically correlate with more scoring opportunities. Furthermore, Robertson's hit rate over his last four home games is 75% (3/4), indicating a consistently strong performance. While there is a degree of variability (indicated by the model prediction SD of 0.42), the model's prediction of 0.43 supports the likelihood of him scoring. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his overall hit rate in the last 10 games is a solid 70% (7/10). These stats provide a strong rationale for the bet on Robertson to score in this game.

Casey DeSmith (Dallas Stars) Over 24.5 Saves (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Casey DeSmith's betting rationale relies heavily on his recent performance data, particularly his overall L5 statistics. With an average of 28 saves in the last five games, DeSmith has consistently exceeded the over/under line of 24.5. His overall shots against average of 30.2 further reinforces this trend as it shows his workload has been substantial. Even though DeSmith's home games saves average is 21.2, his recent form shown in the overall hit rate in his last five games (4/5) indicates he's been stepping up his game. Additionally, the model's prediction of 25.71 saves for DeSmith aligns with this trend, supporting the bet on over 24.5 saves. Although his home games current hit streak is zero, considering DeSmith's recent overall performance and the model's prediction, betting on him to make over 24.5 saves is statistically reasoned.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Tuesday 16 December 2025 at American Airlines Center. The model has generated 3 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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