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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Badie is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 26%, versus the book's implied 7%, for a model edge of +19.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
NFL

Tyler Badie

DEN

+19.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +1400 (15.00)
+19.6% Edge
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
26.3%
Implied Probability
6.7%
Model Edge
+19.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer26.3%—6.7%3.81+19.6%

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AI Analysis

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Tyler Badie (DEN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data provided does not favor a bet on Tyler Badie to score a touchdown at any time during the Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots game. Badie's recent performance indicates a poor scoring streak with zero touchdowns in his last 10 games overall, and in his last 10 home games. His overall hit rate is only 1 in 20 games, reflecting an extremely low scoring rate. His home hit rate is slightly better at 1 in 12, but this is still a low probability. Badie's current hit streak for both overall and home games is zero, indicating he hasn't scored a touchdown recently. The statistical model also suggests a low edge of about 19.6% in favor of this outcome. Based on these statistics, betting on Tyler Badie to score a touchdown in this game appears to be a high-risk bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
26%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Tyler Badie's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 26%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tyler Badie (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Badie is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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