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The latest Bet Better model pick for Lil'Jordan Humphrey is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 28%, versus the book's implied 17%, for a model edge of +11.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:11PM UTC
NFL

Lil'Jordan Humphrey

DEN

+11.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +500 (6.00)
+11.7% Edge
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
28.4%
Implied Probability
16.7%
Model Edge
+11.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer28.4%—16.7%3.52+11.7%

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AI Analysis

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Lil'Jordan Humphrey (DEN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data for Lil'Jordan Humphrey suggests a low likelihood of him scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game between Denver Broncos and New England Patriots. His overall hit rate is minimal, with only 4 touchdowns in 36 games, a hit rate below 12%. When considering his performance in home games, Humphrey has scored just 3 touchdowns in 17 games, indicating a slightly improved, but still low, hit rate of about 18%. His recent performance also does not inspire confidence, with zero touchdowns in his last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games overall, and at home. In fact, he is currently on a zero touchdown streak. Despite the model edge of 0.117, the historical and recent statistics of Humphrey's performance indicate that betting on him to score a touchdown in the upcoming game is a risky proposition.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
28%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 28%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted
5.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–29.5model over60%tips tracked9

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 5.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
tips tracked1

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Lil'Jordan Humphrey (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lil'Jordan Humphrey is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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