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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cole Kmet is Under 1.5 on Receptions.
On the Receptions market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +19.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NFL

Cole Kmet

CHI

+19.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receptions Under 1.5 -122 (1.82)
+19.7% Edge
New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.6%
Implied Probability
55.0%
Model Edge
+19.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions74.6%55.0%1.34+19.7%

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AI Analysis

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Cole Kmet (CHI) Under 1.5 Receptions (-122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions21 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–2.5model over63%tips tracked21

Cole Kmet's NFL receptions prop has been priced 21 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards60 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–39.5model over58%tips tracked60

Cole Kmet's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 60 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Cole Kmet (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cole Kmet is Under 1.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.7% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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