Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cole Kmet is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:04PM UTC
NFL
Cole Kmet
CHI
Cole Kmet has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $2,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
Value call
Philadelphia Eagles
@
Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Tue 29 Sep, 12:15AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Kmet failed to catch his only target in Sunday's 9-3 loss to the Vikings.
updated Sep 21, 8:45PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 6.9% · the book's price implies 4.4% · gap +2.6%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 6.9% | — | 4.4% | 23.00 | +2.6% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Cole Kmet (CHI) Yes Player last td (+2200)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Chicago Bears play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Tuesday 29 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cole Kmet (CHI) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Cole Kmet's lines for Tue 29 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Cole Kmet's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formReceptions21 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–2.5model over63%tips tracked21
Cole Kmet's NFL receptions prop has been priced 21 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards66 lines trackedNo line posted 13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–39.5model over61%tips tracked66
Cole Kmet's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 66 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears |
Receiving Yards |
13.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears |
Receiving Yards |
14.5 |
Under |
-111 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears |
Receiving Yards |
12.5 |
Under |
-108 |
✓ HIT |
See the complete track record
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Cole Kmet (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cole Kmet is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears on Tuesday 29 September at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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