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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 3 Oct 2026, 10:30 PM ET
Texas State Bobcats
VS
San Diego State Aztecs

Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 6 markets for Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs and backs San Diego State Aztecs hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $417.

6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
San Diego State Aztecs
to win
San Diego State Aztecs Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$41.70Best price+317
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win43.2%
The price says24.3%

The model graded 6 markets for Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $417 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 3 Oct 2026, 10:30 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline San Diego State Aztecs Lean43% chance +317
Total Points Members only Lean50% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean49% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Texas State Bobcats and San Diego State Aztecs last met on Sat 3 Oct 2026: San Diego State Aztecs won 31-29. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
San Diego State Aztecs
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Diego State AztecsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego State AztecsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Diego State AztecsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Texas State Bobcats

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

San Diego State Aztecs

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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Texas State Bobcats @ San Diego State Aztecs — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Texas State Bobcats at San Diego State Aztecs — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Texas State Bobcats @ San Diego State Aztecs — model preview

San Diego State Aztecs v Texas State Bobcats, 4 October 2026. Top of the list: San Diego State Aztecs +10 on the Line. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Sunday 4 October 2026, San Diego State Aztecs play Texas State Bobcats in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is San Diego State Aztecs +10 on the Line, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

San Diego State Aztecs +10 on the Line (-108)

Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing

On Sunday 4 October 2026, San Diego State Aztecs host Texas State Bobcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is San Diego State Aztecs 10 Point Spread. On this line San Diego State Aztecs start with 10 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. That price was showing at LowVig. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Bobcats vs Aztecs, or as Aztecs vs Bobcats. The most recent game between them was Saturday 3 October 2026. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 3 Oct 2026San Diego State Aztecs beat Texas State Bobcats 31-29 at home

Texas State Bobcats: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Oregon State Beavers 42-21
  2. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Boise State Broncos 45-46
  3. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Utah State Aggies 20-17
  4. 15 Oct 2026Wonvs Colorado State Rams 66-27
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostat San Diego State Aztecs 29-31

San Diego State Aztecs: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Washington State Cougars 26-20
  2. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Colorado State Rams 49-56
  3. 17 Oct 2026Wonvs Fresno State Bulldogs 26-23
  4. 10 Oct 2026Lostat Oregon State Beavers 14-66
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonvs Texas State Bobcats 31-29

Quick answers

Who won the last San Diego State Aztecs vs Texas State Bobcats game? San Diego State Aztecs won their last meeting 31-29 on 3 October 2026.

How have Texas State Bobcats and San Diego State Aztecs done lately? Texas State Bobcats won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. San Diego State Aztecs won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs: the season so far

From every final score this season

Texas State Bobcats are 5-4 this season and San Diego State Aztecs are 4-5. San Diego State Aztecs are 4-1 at home. Texas State Bobcats are 1-3 on the road. San Diego State Aztecs score 26.4 points a game and let in 34.3. Texas State Bobcats score 38.6 and let in 30.8. San Diego State Aztecs games have averaged 61 points in total; Texas State Bobcats games have averaged 69.

SeasonTexas State BobcatsSan Diego State Aztecs
Won-lost5-44-5
At home4-14-1
On the road1-30-4
Points scored a game38.626.4
Points let in a game30.834.3
Points scored at home4529.8
Points scored away30.822.3
Against winning sides2-32-4
Current runWon 1Won 1
Biggest win63-10 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals53-20 vs Portland State Vikings
Heaviest loss59-7 at Texas Longhorns66-14 at Oregon State Beavers

Teams they have both played

  • Against Colorado State Rams: San Diego State Aztecs lost 49-56 on the road; Texas State Bobcats won 66-27 at home.
  • Against Oregon State Beavers: San Diego State Aztecs lost 14-66 on the road; Texas State Bobcats won 42-21 on the road.

Quick answers

How are San Diego State Aztecs doing this season? San Diego State Aztecs are 4-5 this season: 4-1 at home and 0-4 on the road.

How many points do Texas State Bobcats score a game? Texas State Bobcats score 38.6 points a game this season and let in 30.8, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
San Diego State Aztecs 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sun 4 Oct 2026, Texas State Bobcats at San Diego State Aztecs: San Diego State Aztecs won 31-29.

DateGameScoreWinner
4 Oct 2026Texas State Bobcats @ San Diego State Aztecs31–29San Diego State Aztecs
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