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Model picks & player props
North Texas Mean Green
VS
Texas State Bobcats

North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 20 markets for North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats and backs Under 64 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $191.

NCAAF
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 4:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 64 Total Points -110

The model graded 20 markets for North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 4:00PM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.3%
The price says50.2%
Best price-110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 64 Lean55% chance -110
Alt Total Points Members only Long-shot21% chance Members
Alt Spread Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean52% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

North Texas Mean Green and Texas State Bobcats last met on Sat 19 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Texas State Bobcats -13.5 · $100 returned $425

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NCAAF market — 603 of 1,118 right (ncaaf totals overs)
This bet type · last timeOct 3
Over 41.5
Bowling Green Falcons @ Miami (OH) RedHawks
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $195
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
64
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Texas Mean GreenAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Texas Mean GreenAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Texas State BobcatsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Texas Mean GreenAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Texas Mean GreenAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Texas Mean GreenAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
North Texas Mean GreenAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

North Texas Mean Green

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Texas State Bobcats

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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North Texas Mean Green @ Texas State Bobcats — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for North Texas Mean Green at Texas State Bobcats — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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North Texas Mean Green @ Texas State Bobcats — model preview

Texas State Bobcats v North Texas Mean Green, 19 September 2026. Top of the list: Under 62.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Texas State Bobcats play North Texas Mean Green in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 62.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 62.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Texas State Bobcats host North Texas Mean Green in college football. The bet we are looking at is Under 62.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 62.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
19 Sep 26 Alt Spread Texas State Bobcats -8 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 90.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 89.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Spread North Texas Mean Green +25.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Spread North Texas Mean Green +16.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 91.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Spread North Texas Mean Green +21.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Under 86.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Spread North Texas Mean Green +17.5 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Alt Spread Texas State Bobcats -7.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Green vs Bobcats, or as Bobcats vs Green. The most recent game between them was Saturday 19 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

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