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NCAAF

Chris Dawn Jr.

Texas State

Value call

Chris Dawn Jr. (Texas State) has one live pick today: under 59.5 receiving yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
54.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.7% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +5.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Texas State Bobcats @ Oregon State Beavers
Sat 7 Nov, 10:30 PM ET
Chris Dawn Jr.
under 59.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 59.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Dawn Jr. is Under 59.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 2:21AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 391 of 696 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards55.7%—52.9%2.02+5.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Oregon State Beavers vs Texas State Bobcats: Chris Dawn Jr. Under 59.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 8 November 2026, Oregon State Beavers host Texas State Bobcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Chris Dawn Jr. Under 59.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Chris Dawn Jr. finishes with fewer than 59.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Chris Dawn Jr.'s lines for Sun 8 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 59.5
-115 best over price · 3 books

Chris Dawn Jr.'s receiving yards line is 59.5, best over price -115 across 3 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receptions 4.5 Over -123 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receiving Yards 68.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receiving Yards 64.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receiving Yards — — — Pending
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receiving Yards — — — Pending
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Chris Dawn Jr. (Texas State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Dawn Jr. is Under 59.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.9% on this pick. Their next game is Texas State Bobcats vs Oregon State Beavers on Saturday 7 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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