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NCAAF

Beau Sparks

Texas State

Value call

Beau Sparks (Texas State) has one live pick today: over 5.5 receptions that pays $230 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
6.7 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 77.4% · the book's price implies 43.5% · gap +36.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Texas State Bobcats @ Oregon State Beavers
Sat 7 Nov, 10:30 PM ET
Beau Sparks
over 5.5 receptions
Receptions Over 5.5 +130 (2.30) · $100→$230
Value call
HIGHWins about 77 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00 Odds+130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Beau Sparks is Over 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 77%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 2:21AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 391 of 696 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions77.4%—43.5%2.46+36.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Oregon State Beavers vs Texas State Bobcats: Beau Sparks Over 5.5 Receptions (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 8 November 2026, Oregon State Beavers host Texas State Bobcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Beau Sparks Over 5.5 Receptions. This wins if Beau Sparks finishes with more than 5.5 receptions. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Beau Sparks's lines for Sun 8 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 5.5
+130 best over price · 3 booksWent over in 3 of the last 10 games

Beau Sparks's receptions line is 5.5, best over price +130 across 3 books. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 10 games.

Receiving Yards 58.5
-112 best over price · 3 books

Beau Sparks's receiving yards line is 58.5, best over price -112 across 3 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receiving Yards 67.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receiving Yards 66.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receiving Yards 69.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receiving Yards — — — Pending
15 Oct 26 Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats Receptions — — — Pending

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About This Player

Beau Sparks (Texas State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Beau Sparks is Over 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +36.1% on this pick. Their next game is Texas State Bobcats vs Oregon State Beavers on Saturday 7 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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