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NCAAF

Brad Jackson

Texas State

Value call

Brad Jackson (Texas State) has one live pick today: under 2.5 passing touchdowns that pays $177 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
1.7 passing touchdowns
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.9% · before adjusting for past results 99.5% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap -4.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats
Thu 15 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Brad Jackson
under 2.5 passing touchdowns
Passing TDs Under 2.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.69 Odds-130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brad Jackson is Under 2.5 on Passing TDs.
On Passing TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:34AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 253 of 439 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing TDs99.5%51.9%56.5%1.85+45.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/8

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AI Analysis

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Texas State Bobcats vs Colorado State Rams: Brad Jackson Under 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (-130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 16 October 2026, Texas State Bobcats host Colorado State Rams in college football. The bet we are looking at is Brad Jackson Under 2.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Brad Jackson finishes with fewer than 2.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.69 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Brad Jackson's lines for Fri 16 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing TDs 2.5
-101 best over price · 2 books

Brad Jackson's passing tds line is 2.5, best over price -101 across 2 books.

Completions 17.5
-130 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Brad Jackson's completions line is 17.5, best over price -130 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Completions 18.5
-130 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Brad Jackson's completions line is 18.5, best over price -130 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Rushing Yards 38.5

Brad Jackson's rushing yards line is 38.5.

Passing Yards 264.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Brad Jackson's passing yards line is 264.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

Passing Yards 260.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Brad Jackson's passing yards line is 260.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

Completions 19.5
-130 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Brad Jackson's completions line is 19.5, best over price -130 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Rushing Yards 42.5
-114 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Brad Jackson's rushing yards line is 42.5, best over price -114 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brad Jackson (Texas State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brad Jackson is Under 2.5 on Passing TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +45.9% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado State Rams vs Texas State Bobcats on Thursday 15 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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