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Model picks & player props
Mercyhurst Lakers
VS
New Mexico State Aggies

Mercyhurst Lakers vs New Mexico State Aggies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 7:15AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NCAAF
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 1:00AM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
52.9%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 55.5 Alt Total Points +126

The model graded 20 markets for Mercyhurst Lakers vs New Mexico State Aggies (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $226 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 6 Sep 2026, 1:00AM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win53.2%
The price says41.6%
Best price+126
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Over 55.5 Lean53% chance +126
Alt Total Points Long-shot28% chance —
Alt Total Points Long-shot32% chance —
Alt Total Points Lean59% chance —
Alt Total Points Lean58% chance —
Alt Total Points High63% chance —
Alt Total Points High64% chance —
Alt Spread Long-shot39% chance —
Alt Total Points High69% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NCAAF game on today's board →

Mercyhurst Lakers and New Mexico State Aggies last met on Sun 6 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Over 55.5 · $100 returned $226

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NCAAF market — 212 of 394 right (ncaaf totals overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Over 46
Wisconsin Badgers @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $193
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Over
51.5
-130
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mercyhurst LakersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mercyhurst LakersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mercyhurst LakersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mercyhurst LakersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mercyhurst LakersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mercyhurst LakersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mercyhurst LakersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Mercyhurst LakersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Mercyhurst Lakers

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

New Mexico State Aggies

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Mercyhurst Lakers vs New Mexico State Aggies: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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Mercyhurst Lakers @ New Mexico State Aggies — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Mercyhurst Lakers at New Mexico State Aggies — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
Recent form: won 3 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
DateMarketPickResult
06 Sep 26 Alt Spread Mercyhurst Lakers +47.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 51.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 53.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 51 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 55.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 53 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 64.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 48.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Alt Spread Mercyhurst Lakers +50.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Alt Spread Mercyhurst Lakers +51.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Mercyhurst Lakers vs New Mexico State Aggies in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Lakers vs Aggies, or as Aggies vs Lakers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 6 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 52.9% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
New Mexico State Aggies 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Sep 2026Mercyhurst Lakers @ New Mexico State Aggies51–14New Mexico State Aggies
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