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Model picks & player props
Lindenwood Lions
VS
Missouri State Bears

Lindenwood Lions vs Missouri State Bears Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 20 markets for Lindenwood Lions vs Missouri State Bears and backs Missouri State Bears -23 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $275.

NCAAF
Sat 12 Sep 2026, 11:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
77.7%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Missouri State Bears -23 Alt Spread +175

The model graded 20 markets for Lindenwood Lions vs Missouri State Bears (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $275 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 77.7% across 148 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 12 Sep 2026, 11:00PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win68.2%
The price says35.1%
Best price+175
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Spread Missouri State Bears -23 High68% chance +175
Alt Spread Members only High78% chance Members
Alt Total Points Members only Lean50% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Lindenwood Lions and Missouri State Bears last met on Sat 12 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Missouri State Bears -23 · $100 returned $275

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NCAAF market — 603 of 1,116 right (ncaaf totals overs)
This bet type · last timeOct 3
Over 41.5
Bowling Green Falcons @ Miami (OH) RedHawks
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $195
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Spread
Missouri State Bears
-23
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Missouri State BearsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri State BearsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Lindenwood Lions

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Missouri State Bears

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Lindenwood Lions vs Missouri State Bears: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Lindenwood Lions @ Missouri State Bears — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Lindenwood Lions at Missouri State Bears — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Lindenwood Lions @ Missouri State Bears — model preview

Missouri State Bears v Lindenwood Lions, 12 September 2026. Top of the list: Missouri State Bears -18 on the Line. Our model likes 2 bets in this game.

On Saturday 12 September 2026, Missouri State Bears play Lindenwood Lions in college football. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Missouri State Bears -18 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Missouri State Bears -18 on the Line (+110)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

On Saturday 12 September 2026, Missouri State Bears host Lindenwood Lions in college football. The bet we are looking at is Missouri State Bears -18 Point Spread. On this line Missouri State Bears give up 18 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 18. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
148
Total Picks
77.7%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
12 Sep 26 Alt Spread Missouri State Bears -23 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 43.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Spread Missouri State Bears -10.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Spread Missouri State Bears -43.5 ✗ MISS
12 Sep 26 Alt Spread Missouri State Bears -3.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 38.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 64.5 ✗ MISS
12 Sep 26 Alt Spread Missouri State Bears -5.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Spread Missouri State Bears -13.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Spread Missouri State Bears -16.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 56.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 40.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 65.5 ✗ MISS
12 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 54.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 35.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Lindenwood Lions vs Missouri State Bears in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Lions vs Bears, or as Bears vs Lions. The most recent game between them was Saturday 12 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 77.7% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Missouri State Bears 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Sep 2026Lindenwood Lions @ Missouri State Bears48–14Missouri State Bears
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