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NCAAF

Deshawn Purdie

Liberty

Value call

Deshawn Purdie (Liberty) has one live pick today: under 212.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
190.7 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.2% · before adjusting for past results 78.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +2.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames
Thu 8 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Deshawn Purdie
under 212.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 212.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Deshawn Purdie is Under 212.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 19, 6:36AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 826 of 1,532 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards78.1%55.2%53.2%2.00+28.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Liberty Flames vs Sam Houston State Bearkats: Deshawn Purdie Under 212.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 8 October 2026, Liberty Flames host Sam Houston State Bearkats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Deshawn Purdie Under 212.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Deshawn Purdie finishes with fewer than 212.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Oct 26 Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames Passing Yards 212.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
02 Oct 26 Liberty Flames @ Delaware Blue Hens Passing Yards 198.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
24 Sep 26 Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Passing Yards — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Passing Yards — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Passing Yards — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Deshawn Purdie (Liberty) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Deshawn Purdie is Under 212.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.1% on this pick. Their next game is Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames on Thursday 8 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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