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NCAAF

Makai Jackson

Liberty

Value call

Makai Jackson (Liberty) has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $224 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
6.8 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.7% · before adjusting for past results 91.5% · the book's price implies 44.6% · gap +13.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames
Thu 8 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Makai Jackson
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 +124 (2.24) · $100→$224
Value call
LEANWins about 58 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.40 Odds+124
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Makai Jackson is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 45%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 19, 8:01AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 826 of 1,532 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions91.5%57.7%44.6%2.38+49.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/4
Last 10 games3/4

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AI Analysis

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Liberty Flames vs Sam Houston State Bearkats: Makai Jackson Over 4.5 Receptions (+124)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 8 October 2026, Liberty Flames host Sam Houston State Bearkats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Makai Jackson Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Makai Jackson finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at +124 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.40 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Oct 26 Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames Receiving Yards 69.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
24 Sep 26 Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Receiving Yards 47.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
24 Sep 26 Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Receiving Yards 49.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
08 Oct 26 Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames Receptions — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Makai Jackson (Liberty) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Makai Jackson is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +49.5% on this pick. Their next game is Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames on Thursday 8 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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