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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Ball State Cardinals
VS
Bowling Green Falcons

Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 16 markets for Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons and backs Over 44.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $191.

16
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 44.5 total points
Over 44.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.3%
The price says50.3%

The model graded 16 markets for Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 44.5 Lean48% chance -110
Total Points Members only Lean48% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot13% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean46% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Ball State Cardinals and Bowling Green Falcons last met on Sat 17 Oct 2026: Ball State Cardinals won 32-31. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
44.5
+ 15 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Ball State CardinalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Bowling Green FalconsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Bowling Green FalconsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Bowling Green FalconsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Bowling Green FalconsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Ball State Cardinals

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Bowling Green Falcons

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Ball State Cardinals @ Bowling Green Falcons — what the model found

Our model graded 16 betting markets for Ball State Cardinals at Bowling Green Falcons — 16 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

16
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 16 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 15 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Ball State Cardinals @ Bowling Green Falcons — model preview

Bowling Green Falcons v Ball State Cardinals, 17 October 2026. Top of the list: Over 46.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Bowling Green Falcons play Ball State Cardinals in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 46.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 46.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Bowling Green Falcons host Ball State Cardinals in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 46.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 46.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Falcons, or as Falcons vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Saturday 17 October 2026. The model has generated 16 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 17 Oct 2026Ball State Cardinals beat Bowling Green Falcons 32-31 on the road

Ball State Cardinals: last 5 results

  1. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Sacramento State Hornets 34-17
  2. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Bowling Green Falcons 32-31
  3. 10 Oct 2026Lostat Northwestern Wildcats 14-45
  4. 3 Oct 2026Lostvs Toledo Rockets 24-39
  5. 26 Sep 2026Lostat Kent State Golden Flashes 13-26

Bowling Green Falcons: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Western Michigan Broncos 10-23
  2. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Buffalo Bulls 24-31
  3. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Ball State Cardinals 31-32
  4. 10 Oct 2026Wonvs Sacramento State Hornets 38-10
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonat Miami (OH) RedHawks 24-20

Quick answers

Who won the last Bowling Green Falcons vs Ball State Cardinals game? Ball State Cardinals won their last meeting 32-31 on 17 October 2026.

How have Ball State Cardinals and Bowling Green Falcons done lately? Ball State Cardinals won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Bowling Green Falcons won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Ball State Cardinals 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 17 Oct 2026, Ball State Cardinals at Bowling Green Falcons: Ball State Cardinals won 32-31.

DateGameScoreWinner
17 Oct 2026Ball State Cardinals @ Bowling Green Falcons31–32Ball State Cardinals
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