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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Ball State Cardinals
VS
Liberty Flames

Ball State Cardinals vs Liberty Flames Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Ball State Cardinals vs Liberty Flames and backs Liberty Flames -13.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $191.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Liberty Flames
to win by 14+ points
Liberty Flames -13.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win83.3%
The price says50.0%

The model graded 20 markets for Ball State Cardinals vs Liberty Flames (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Liberty Flames -13.5 High83% chance -110
Alt Total Points Members only Lean41% chance Members
Total Points Members only High76% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Ball State Cardinals and Liberty Flames last met on Sat 19 Sep 2026: Liberty Flames won 51-15. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Liberty Flames
-13.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Liberty FlamesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Ball State Cardinals

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Liberty Flames

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Ball State Cardinals vs Liberty Flames: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Ball State Cardinals @ Liberty Flames — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Ball State Cardinals at Liberty Flames — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Ball State Cardinals @ Liberty Flames — model preview

Liberty Flames v Ball State Cardinals, 19 September 2026. Top of the list: Under 49 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Liberty Flames play Ball State Cardinals in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 49 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 49 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Liberty Flames host Ball State Cardinals in college football. The bet we are looking at is Under 49 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 49 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Ball State Cardinals vs Liberty Flames in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Flames, or as Flames vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Saturday 19 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Ball State Cardinals vs Liberty Flames: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 19 Sep 2026Liberty Flames beat Ball State Cardinals 51-15 at home

Ball State Cardinals: last 5 results

  1. 11 Nov 2026Lostvs Buffalo Bulls 7-28
  2. 4 Nov 2026Lostat Massachusetts Minutemen 30-31
  3. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Sacramento State Hornets 34-17
  4. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Bowling Green Falcons 32-31
  5. 10 Oct 2026Lostat Northwestern Wildcats 14-45

Liberty Flames: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat New Mexico State Aggies 30-14
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Florida International Panthers 49-10
  3. 22 Oct 2026Wonat Kennesaw State Owls 34-6
  4. 8 Oct 2026Wonvs Sam Houston Bearkats 35-3
  5. 2 Oct 2026Wonat Delaware Blue Hens 30-14

Quick answers

Who won the last Liberty Flames vs Ball State Cardinals game? Liberty Flames won their last meeting 51-15 on 19 September 2026.

How have Ball State Cardinals and Liberty Flames done lately? Ball State Cardinals won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Liberty Flames won 5 and lost 0 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Ball State Cardinals vs Liberty Flames: the season so far

From every final score this season

Ball State Cardinals are 3-7 this season and Liberty Flames are 8-1. Liberty Flames are 4-0 at home. Ball State Cardinals are 1-5 on the road. Liberty Flames score 33.3 points a game and let in 13.6. Ball State Cardinals score 21.3 and let in 34.1. Liberty Flames games have averaged 47 points in total; Ball State Cardinals games have averaged 55. Liberty Flames have won their last 8.

SeasonBall State CardinalsLiberty Flames
Won-lost3-78-1
At home2-24-0
On the road1-54-1
Points scored a game21.333.3
Points let in a game34.113.6
Points scored at home26.539.8
Points scored away17.828.2
Against winning sides0-50-1
Current runLost 2Won 8
Biggest win41-17 vs Stony Brook Seawolves49-10 vs Florida International Panthers
Heaviest loss56-3 at Ohio State Buckeyes20-13 at James Madison Dukes

Quick answers

How are Liberty Flames doing this season? Liberty Flames are 8-1 this season: 4-0 at home and 4-1 on the road.

How many points do Ball State Cardinals score a game? Ball State Cardinals score 21.3 points a game this season and let in 34.1, across 10 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Ball State Cardinals vs Liberty Flames head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Liberty Flames 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 19 Sep 2026, Ball State Cardinals at Liberty Flames: Liberty Flames won 51-15.

DateGameScoreWinner
19 Sep 2026Ball State Cardinals @ Liberty Flames51–15Liberty Flames
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