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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Sacramento State Hornets
VS
Bowling Green Falcons

Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons and backs Over 42.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $193.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 42.5 total points
Over 42.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.26Best price-108
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win58.5%
The price says50.1%

The model graded 20 markets for Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 42.5 Lean58% chance -108
Total Points Members only Lean58% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot14% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean45% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Sacramento State Hornets and Bowling Green Falcons last met on Sat 10 Oct 2026: Bowling Green Falcons won 38-10. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
42.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento State HornetsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento State HornetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Bowling Green FalconsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento State HornetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento State HornetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Bowling Green FalconsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento State HornetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Bowling Green FalconsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento State HornetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Sacramento State HornetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Bowling Green FalconsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sacramento State Hornets

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Bowling Green Falcons

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Sacramento State Hornets @ Bowling Green Falcons — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Sacramento State Hornets at Bowling Green Falcons — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Sacramento State Hornets @ Bowling Green Falcons — model preview

Bowling Green Falcons v Sacramento State Hornets, 10 October 2026. Top of the list: Bowling Green Falcons -9 on the Line. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Bowling Green Falcons play Sacramento State Hornets in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Bowling Green Falcons -9 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bowling Green Falcons -9 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Bowling Green Falcons host Sacramento State Hornets in college football. The bet we are looking at is Bowling Green Falcons -9 Point Spread. On this line Bowling Green Falcons give up 9 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 9. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.43 if it lands. That price was showing at LowVig. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Hornets vs Falcons, or as Falcons vs Hornets. The most recent game between them was Saturday 10 October 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 10 Oct 2026Bowling Green Falcons beat Sacramento State Hornets 38-10 at home

Sacramento State Hornets: last 5 results

  1. 11 Nov 2026Lostat Central Michigan Chippewas 7-28
  2. 4 Nov 2026Lostvs Toledo Rockets 17-20
  3. 30 Oct 2026Wonvs Kent State Golden Flashes 31-10
  4. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Ball State Cardinals 17-34
  5. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Ohio Bobcats 7-48

Bowling Green Falcons: last 5 results

  1. 10 Nov 2026Wonvs Kent State Golden Flashes 33-28
  2. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Western Michigan Broncos 10-23
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Buffalo Bulls 24-31
  4. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Ball State Cardinals 31-32
  5. 10 Oct 2026Wonvs Sacramento State Hornets 38-10

Quick answers

Who won the last Bowling Green Falcons vs Sacramento State Hornets game? Bowling Green Falcons won their last meeting 38-10 on 10 October 2026.

How have Sacramento State Hornets and Bowling Green Falcons done lately? Sacramento State Hornets won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold. Bowling Green Falcons won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons: the season so far

From every final score this season

Sacramento State Hornets are 2-9 this season and Bowling Green Falcons are 3-7. Bowling Green Falcons are 2-3 at home. Sacramento State Hornets are 0-5 on the road. Bowling Green Falcons score 19.3 points a game and let in 28.9. Sacramento State Hornets score 16.1 and let in 29.2. Bowling Green Falcons games have averaged 48 points in total; Sacramento State Hornets games have averaged 45.

SeasonSacramento State HornetsBowling Green Falcons
Won-lost2-93-7
At home2-42-3
On the road0-51-4
Points scored a game16.119.3
Points let in a game29.228.9
Points scored at home20.524.2
Points scored away10.814.4
Against winning sides0-41-4
Current runLost 2Won 1
Biggest win52-0 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils38-10 vs Sacramento State Hornets
Heaviest loss49-3 at Fresno State Bulldogs56-7 at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Teams they have both played

  • Against Kent State Golden Flashes: Bowling Green Falcons won 33-28 at home; Sacramento State Hornets won 31-10 at home.
  • Against Ball State Cardinals: Bowling Green Falcons lost 31-32 at home; Sacramento State Hornets lost 17-34 on the road.

Quick answers

How are Bowling Green Falcons doing this season? Bowling Green Falcons are 3-7 this season: 2-3 at home and 1-4 on the road.

How many points do Sacramento State Hornets score a game? Sacramento State Hornets score 16.1 points a game this season and let in 29.2, across 11 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Bowling Green Falcons 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 10 Oct 2026, Sacramento State Hornets at Bowling Green Falcons: Bowling Green Falcons won 38-10.

DateGameScoreWinner
10 Oct 2026Sacramento State Hornets @ Bowling Green Falcons38–10Bowling Green Falcons
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