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NCAAF

Keldric Luster

Ball State

Value call

Keldric Luster (Ball State) has one live pick today: over 40.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
54.5 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.4% · before adjusting for past results 63.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -4.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Ball State Cardinals @ UMass Minutemen
Wed 4 Nov, 7:00 PM ET
Keldric Luster
over 40.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 40.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keldric Luster is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 3, 9:31PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 378 of 671 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards63.1%48.4%53.2%2.00+13.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/9

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AI Analysis

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UMass Minutemen vs Ball State Cardinals: Keldric Luster Over 40.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 5 November 2026, UMass Minutemen host Ball State Cardinals in college football. The bet we are looking at is Keldric Luster Over 40.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Keldric Luster finishes with more than 40.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Keldric Luster's lines for Thu 5 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 40.5

Keldric Luster's rushing yards line is 40.5.

Passing Yards 198.5

Keldric Luster's passing yards line is 198.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Keldric Luster (Ball State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Keldric Luster is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Ball State Cardinals vs UMass Minutemen on Wednesday 4 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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