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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jay Kastantin is Over 0.5 on Passing TDs.
On Passing TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 49%, implied 47%, edge +27.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 18, 1:40AM UTC
NCAAF

Jay Kastantin

Bowling Green

+27.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Passing TDs Over 0.5 +115 (2.15) · $100→$215
+27.4% Edge
Bowling Green Falcons @ Iowa State Cyclones
Sat 19 Sep, 4:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
0.7 Passing TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.7% · the book's price implies 46.5% · gap +27.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing TDs71.7%48.9%46.5%2.10+27.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Iowa State Cyclones vs Bowling Green Falcons: Jay Kastantin Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (+115)

Odds available at Hard Rock Bet at time of publishing

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Iowa State Cyclones host Bowling Green Falcons in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jay Kastantin Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Jay Kastantin finishes with more than 0.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at +115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Hard Rock Bet. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jay Kastantin's lines for Sat 19 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing TDs 0.5
+110 best over price · 2 books

Jay Kastantin's passing tds line is 0.5, best over price +110 across 2 books.

Passing Yards 119.5

Jay Kastantin's passing yards line is 119.5.

Passing Yards 111.5

Jay Kastantin's passing yards line is 111.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jay Kastantin (Bowling Green) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jay Kastantin is Over 0.5 on Passing TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.4% on this pick. Their next game is Bowling Green Falcons vs Iowa State Cyclones on Saturday 19 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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