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NCAAF

Avery Johnson

Kansas State

Value call

Avery Johnson (Kansas State) has one live pick today: Passing Yards Under 225.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
222.3 Passing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.5% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +4.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats
Sat 10 Oct, 7:30PM
Avery Johnson
under 225.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 225.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Avery Johnson is Under 225.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 8, 1:57AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 604 of 1,119 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards54.5%—53.2%2.00+4.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Kansas State Wildcats vs Houston Cougars: Avery Johnson Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Kansas State Wildcats host Houston Cougars in college football. The bet we are looking at is Avery Johnson Under 225.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Avery Johnson finishes with fewer than 225.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
Overall Hit Rate (23 picks) 65.2% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Avery Johnson's lines for Sat 10 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards 225.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Avery Johnson's passing yards line is 225.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

Rushing Yards 40.5
-110 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Avery Johnson's rushing yards line is 40.5, best over price -110 across 4 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Passing Yards 227.5
-110 best over price · 2 books

Avery Johnson's passing yards line is 227.5, best over price -110 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats Rushing Yards 61.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats Rushing Yards 60.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats Passing Yards 216.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats Passing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats Passing Yards — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Tulane Green Wave @ Kansas State Wildcats Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Avery Johnson (Kansas State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 65.2% on tracked Avery Johnson picks. The latest model pick for Avery Johnson is Under 225.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.5% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Cougars vs Kansas State Wildcats on Saturday 10 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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