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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nae'Qwan Tomlin is Under 5.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +12.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:07PM UTC
NBA

Nae'Qwan Tomlin

Cleveland Cavaliers

+12.5% Edge
🔥 27 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 5.5 -345 (1.29)
+12.5% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies
FedExForum, Memphis, TN · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 12:00AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Tomlin (rest) didn't play in Friday's 100-91 Summer League win over the Bulls.
updated Jul 18, 12:54AM UTC · 3d old
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Model Probability
90.0%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+12.5%
Predicted Value
2.4 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds90.0%77.5%1.11+12.5%

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AI Analysis

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Nae'Qwan Tomlin (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When it comes to Nae'Qwan Tomlin's rebounding prowess, the trend is clear: he's had a stellar run, but the numbers suggest a dip is on the horizon against the Cavaliers. Playing away, Tomlin has been held under 5.5 rebounds for an impressive 16 consecutive games, showcasing a pattern that can't be ignored. The Cavaliers, with their strong frontcourt presence, complicate matters further. Memphis will likely focus on their perimeter game, reducing Tomlin's chances to snag those boards. Given his expected stat value of just 2.39, it's evident that this matchup leans heavily against him. With an astounding 20-for-20 hit rate in his last outings, it's tempting to think Tomlin is invincible, but the data points to a solid opportunity to capitalize on the Under. Trust the trend and look for Tomlin to fall short this time around.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Nae'Qwan Tomlin has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Nae'Qwan Tomlin has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Nae'Qwan Tomlin has active Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Rebounds 5.5 Under -345 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs 12.5 Under -106 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 10.5 Under -167 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds Pending
05 Apr 26 Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points Pending
05 Apr 26 Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Nae'Qwan Tomlin (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Nae'Qwan Tomlin is currently on a 27-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Nae'Qwan Tomlin is Under 5.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.5% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday 7 April at FedExForum, Memphis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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