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The latest Bet Better model pick for Micah Potter is Under 11.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +21.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Micah Potter

Indiana Pacers

+21.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 11.5 -102 (1.98)
+21.8% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.3%
Implied Probability
50.5%
Model Edge
+21.8%
Predicted Value
8.1 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points72.3%—50.5%1.38+21.8%

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AI Analysis

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Micah Potter (Indiana Pacers) Under 11.5 Points (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers gear up to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Micah Potter. While his recent performances might suggest he's in good form, we should take a closer look at the numbers. Over the last five games, Potter has averaged 13.4 points, but at home, that number dips significantly to just 9.6. Facing the Timberwolves, he's managed only 2 points in their last encounters-both at home and away. With an expected stat value of just 8.07, the under on 11.5 feels like a solid play. Potter's overall hit rate of 9 out of 12 is impressive, but his home hit rate reveals a different story at 13 of 20. Given these trends, it seems prudent to lean toward the under for Potter. It's a classic case where the matchup might not favor his scoring ability, making this wager quite enticing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
4.3avg · last 10
L54.6Szn4.3Home3.8Away4.8Best13
4+42%
9+16%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4.3 · hi 9 · lo 0
2920790437

Micah Potter is averaging 4.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.3, best 13). He clears 4+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
9.1avg · last 10
L510.0Szn8.6Home8.6Away8.6Best25
4+79%
9+45%
14+18%
19+8%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 9.1 · hi 16 · lo 2
611931216271312

Micah Potter is averaging 9.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.6, best 25). He clears 9+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
4.8avg · last 10
L55.4Szn4.3Home4.8Away3.8Best16
2+84%
4+53%
6+29%
8+11%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4.8 · hi 10 · lo 2
42735723105

Micah Potter is averaging 4.8 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.3, best 16). He clears 4+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Points 11.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs 18.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Rebounds 5.5 Under +118 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Micah Potter (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Micah Potter is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.8% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers on Tuesday 7 April at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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