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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Micah Potter is Under 11.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 50%, edge +23.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:44PM UTC
NBA

Micah Potter

Indiana Pacers

+23.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 11.5 +100 (2.00) · $100→$200
+23.3% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
7.9 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.3% · the book's price implies 50.0% · gap +23.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points73.3%50.0%1.36+23.3%

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AI Analysis

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Micah Potter (Indiana Pacers) Under 11.5 Points (+100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers gear up to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Micah Potter, especially with a points line set at 11.5. While Potter has shown flashes of scoring prowess, recent trends suggest he might struggle to hit that mark tonight. At home, he's averaging just 9.6 points over the last five games, a stark contrast to his overall average of 13.4. When matched up against the Timberwolves, Potter has only managed 2 points in their last few encounters, and history tells us he's hit the Under in 9 of his last 12 games. With an expected stat value of just 7.89, the odds seem stacked against him. In a matchup that could easily see him overshadowed, betting on Potter to stay Under 11.5 points makes a lot of sense. The numbers are aligning, and tonight may not be his night.

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Pick History & Track Record

Micah Potter — 2024-25 season averages

Over 38 games in the 2024-25 season, Micah Potter averaged 4.3 points, 4.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists in 18.5 minutes per game, shooting 42.2% from the field and 31.6% from three-point range.

4.3
PPG
4.3
RPG
0.8
APG
0.4
SPG
0.4
BPG
18.5
MPG
42.2%
FG%
31.6%
3P%

Micah Potter — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Micah Potter has played 24.4 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

24.4
MPG (L5)
4.6
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Micah Potter — home vs away scoring

At home Micah Potter averages 3.8 points per game; on the road, 4.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

3.8
PPG at home
4.8
PPG on the road

Micah Potter — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Micah Potter has averaged 4.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 0.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ MIN29754
11 Aprvs OKC323100
9 Aprvs POR27430
6 Apr@ ATL10020
4 Apr@ IND24971
21 Marvs BOS23751
19 Marvs WSH15031
17 Marvs CHI23271
9 Mar@ PHI16920
7 Mar@ TOR13240
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Micah Potter (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Micah Potter is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.3% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers on Tuesday 7 April at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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