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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Kornet is Over 2.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 83%, implied 67%, edge +16.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 9:57PM UTC
NBA

Luke Kornet

San Antonio Spurs

+16.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 2.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
+16.6% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
9.2 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 83.2% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap +16.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs83.2%66.7%1.20+16.6%

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AI Analysis

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Luke Kornet (San Antonio Spurs) Over 2.5 Points + Rebounds (-200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When you look at Luke Kornet's recent performance, it's hard not to feel optimistic about him hitting the over on 2.5 points and rebounds against the Knicks. At home, he's been a surprisingly consistent contributor, averaging 6 rebounds and nearly 5 points in his last five games versus New York. With a formidable 18 out of his last 20 home games resulting in him surpassing this line, Kornet thrives in familiar territory.The Spurs will want to capitalize on their home court advantage, and Kornet's ability to chip in around the rim makes him a key player for getting those extra possessions. His overall hit rate of 80% at home emphasizes his reliability, so banking on him to combine points and rebounds past that modest threshold seems like a smart play. Given the stakes and his recent form, expect Kornet to rise to the occasion on Sunday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Luke Kornet — 2024-25 season averages

Over 82 games in the 2024-25 season, Luke Kornet averaged 5.8 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 18.3 minutes per game, shooting 66.8% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

5.8
PPG
5.1
RPG
1.5
APG
0.5
SPG
0.9
BPG
18.3
MPG
66.8%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Luke Kornet — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Luke Kornet has played 15.2 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

15.2
MPG (L5)
5.0
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Luke Kornet — home vs away scoring

At home Luke Kornet averages 5.9 points per game; on the road, 5.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

5.9
PPG at home
5.7
PPG on the road

Luke Kornet — scoring by opponent

Luke Kornet scores most against the WSH, averaging 7.4 points per game in that matchup.

7.4
WSH
6.4
CHA
5.7
ATL
5.7
PHI
5.5
BKN
5.4
DET

Luke Kornet — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Luke Kornet has averaged 4.6 points, 3.7 rebounds and 0.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ NY8000
10 May@ NY10620
7 Mayvs NY18680
5 Mayvs NY17450
29 Aprvs ORL23942
27 Apr@ ORL16011
25 Apr@ ORL19660
23 Aprvs ORL12220
20 Aprvs ORL11210
13 Aprvs CHA301182
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 4.5 Over +107 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 3.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Luke Kornet (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Kornet is Over 2.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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