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The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Kennard is Under 5.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +21.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 11:38PM UTC
NBA

Luke Kennard

Los Angeles Lakers

+21.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 5.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+21.0% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.7%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+21.0%
Predicted Value
3.8 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists82.7%61.7%1.21+21.0%

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AI Analysis

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Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 5.5 Assists (-161)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Lakers host the Rockets, all eyes will be on Luke Kennard, but we're leaning towards the under on his assists at 5.5. Sure, his recent form shows he's been dishing out an impressive 6.4 assists over the last five games. However, at home, that number drops to just 3.2, and against the Rockets, he's averaged only 2 assists in their last few matchups.His overall hit rate is stellar-17 out of 20-but at home, he's been even more reliable, hitting the under in 19 of his last 20 games. The Lakers have a crowded backcourt, and with the Rockets likely focusing on limiting Kennard's playmaking, it's hard to see him exceeding that 5.5 mark. With an expected stat value of just 3.83, it feels like a solid play to back the under.

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Pick History & Track Record

Luke Kennard — 2024-25 season averages

Over 70 games in the 2024-25 season, Luke Kennard averaged 8.5 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists in 22.4 minutes per game, shooting 47.7% from the field and 42.6% from three-point range.

8.5
PPG
2.8
RPG
3.2
APG
0.8
SPG
0.1
BPG
22.4
MPG
47.7%
FG%
42.6%
3P%

Luke Kennard — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Luke Kennard has played 19.6 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

19.6
MPG (L5)
4.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Luke Kennard — points hit rate

Luke Kennard has scored over 11.5 points in 34% of 327 career games.

o11.534%
o12.531%
o15.519%

Luke Kennard — home vs away scoring

At home Luke Kennard averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 8.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
8.0
PPG on the road

Luke Kennard — scoring by opponent

Luke Kennard scores most against the WSH, averaging 14.4 points per game in that matchup.

14.4
WSH
14.0
IND
13.7
ORL
13.1
MIA
12.1
HOU
11.9
SAC

Luke Kennard — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Luke Kennard has averaged 4.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
26 Aprvs OKC18433
24 Aprvs OKC33553
22 Apr@ OKC18432
20 Apr@ OKC12530
15 Apr@ GS17311
11 Apr@ DEN231264
8 Apr@ CHA16021
5 Apr@ DET23472
3 Apr@ MIA22321
1 Aprvs GS22315
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Assists 5.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Kennard is Under 5.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.0% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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