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The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Kennard is Under 5.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +21.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:47PM UTC
NBA

Luke Kennard

Los Angeles Lakers

+21.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 5.5 -159 (1.63)
+21.6% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.9%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+21.6%
Predicted Value
3.8 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists82.9%—61.3%1.21+21.6%

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AI Analysis

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Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 5.5 Assists (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Los Angeles Lakers prepare to host the Houston Rockets, all eyes will be on Luke Kennard, but not for the reasons you might expect. While he's been a solid contributor lately, averaging 6.4 assists over his last five games, a closer look reveals a troubling trend against the Rockets. In their last encounters, Kennard has averaged just 1.6 assists per game, and at home, that figure barely improves to 2. With the Lakers' offensive focus often shifting towards their stars, Kennard's role as a facilitator might diminish further. The numbers support this narrative - his home assist average dips to 3.2 in the last five, well below the 5.5 threshold. It's no surprise, then, that the under has hit an impressive 19 out of the last 20 home games. It's a classic case of a player being overshadowed, making the under a smart play here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.7avg · last 10
L50.6Szn1.7Home1.8Away1.5Best10
1+71%
2+43%
3+26%
4+10%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 0.7 · hi 2 · lo 0
1100211010

Luke Kennard is averaging 0.7 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.7, best 10). He clears 2+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.2avg · last 10
L51.8Szn3.2Home3.0Away3.4Best11
1+91%
3+61%
5+19%
7+10%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.2 · hi 5 · lo 0
5121410233

Luke Kennard is averaging 2.2 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.2, best 11). He clears 3+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.3avg · last 10
L54.2Szn8.5Home9.1Away8.0Best30
4+77%
9+41%
14+20%
19+7%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 4.3 · hi 12 · lo 0
33401235454

Luke Kennard is averaging 4.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.5, best 30). He clears 9+ in 41% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.5avg · last 10
L56.0Szn11.7Home12.0Away11.4Best34
2+93%
7+71%
12+49%
17+21%
22+9%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 6.5 · hi 16 · lo 1
84611645687

Luke Kennard is averaging 6.5 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.7, best 34). He clears 12+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
7.6avg · last 10
L57.2Szn11.4Home11.2Away11.5Best36
1+99%
6+77%
11+49%
16+24%
21+11%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 7.6 · hi 18 · lo 2
4511218487107

Luke Kennard is averaging 7.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.4, best 36). He clears 11+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
9.8avg · last 10
L59.0Szn14.6Home14.2Away14.9Best40
5+91%
10+70%
15+49%
20+24%
25+14%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 9.8 · hi 22 · lo 3
96133225891310

Luke Kennard is averaging 9.8 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.6, best 40). He clears 15+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
3.3avg · last 10
L53.0Szn2.8Home2.2Away3.4Best10
1+93%
3+53%
5+14%
7+6%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.3 · hi 7 · lo 1
1272613353

Luke Kennard is averaging 3.3 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.8, best 10). He clears 3+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
5.5avg · last 10
L54.8Szn6.0Home5.1Away6.9Best17
3+89%
6+57%
9+20%
12+4%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 5.5 · hi 10 · lo 2
63931023586

Luke Kennard is averaging 5.5 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.0, best 17). He clears 6+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Assists 5.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over +115 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Kennard is Under 5.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.6% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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