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The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Edwards is Under 11.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +20.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Justin Edwards

Philadelphia 76ers

+20.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 11.5 +102 (2.02)
+20.5% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA · Indoor
Fri 20 Mar, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.0%
Implied Probability
49.5%
Model Edge
+20.5%
Predicted Value
8.4 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points70.0%—49.5%1.43+20.5%

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AI Analysis

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Justin Edwards (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 11.5 Points (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers take on the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Justin Edwards, but not for the reasons you might think. With a line set at 11.5 points, there's a compelling narrative building for the under. On the road, Edwards has averaged just 8.8 points over his last five games, which is a stark contrast to the 12.6 he's posting overall. What's even more telling is his dismal production against Sacramento, where he's managed a mere 4 points in their last five meetings, and notably, zero when playing in Sacramento. While his overall hit rate is impressive, the away games tell a different story: he's hit the under 16 out of his last 20 chances. With the Kings' defense tightening up at home, it's hard to envision Edwards breaking through that 11.5 mark. This matchup feels tailor-made for the under, making it a smart bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers MadeSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active 3-Pointers Made prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Justin Edwards (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Edwards is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.5% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Sacramento Kings on Friday 20 March at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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