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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Edwards is Under 3.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +16.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:58AM UTC
NBA

Justin Edwards

Philadelphia 76ers

+16.2% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 3.5 -149 (1.67) · $100→$167
+16.2% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA · Indoor
Fri 20 Mar, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.1%
Implied Probability
59.9%
Model Edge
+16.2%
Predicted Value
2.2 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists76.1%59.9%1.31+16.2%

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AI Analysis

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Justin Edwards (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 3.5 Assists (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers gear up to face the Sacramento Kings, all eyes might be on Justin Edwards, but savvy bettors should consider the under on his assists total. Edwards has been struggling to distribute on the road, averaging just 1.6 assists in his last five away games, a stark contrast to the 2.2 he puts up overall. When matched against the Kings, his assist numbers drop even further, averaging only 1.5 in their recent encounters. In fact, when playing away against Sacramento, he hasn't recorded a single assist in his last matchup. With him hitting the under in three straight road games and the overall trend suggesting a solid likelihood of staying below that 3.5 mark, this is a compelling play. Expect him to focus more on scoring than facilitating in a tough environment-making the under a smart choice here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers MadeSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active 3-Pointers Made prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstSeason marketNo line posted

Justin Edwards has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Justin Edwards (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Justin Edwards is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Justin Edwards is Under 3.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.2% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Sacramento Kings on Friday 20 March at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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