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NBA

Duncan Robinson

Miami Heat

+12.4% Edge
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Points Under 11.5 -132 (1.76)
+12.4% Edge
Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Sun 15 Mar, 7:30PM
Model Probability
69.2%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
8.5 Points

AI Analysis

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Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat) Under 11.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we turn our gaze to Sunday's matchup between the Raptors and Pistons, Duncan Robinson's scoring line of 11.5 points feels ripe for a dip. Sure, Robinson has had moments, but recent trends tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 5 points, significantly under that mark. Even when he's at home, he's managed only 12.4 points, which is below our target. Against the Pistons, he's averaged 10.8 points in their last encounters, and let's not forget that Detroit has been formidable on defense, allowing just 12.2 points to opposing shooters at home. With a hit rate of 5 for 5 on the under recently, it's clear he's struggling to find his rhythm. Betting the under on Robinson feels like a savvy move here, especially with the numbers leaning heavily in our favor.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 50.0% (10/20)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors Points 11.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors Points 11.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs 13.5 Under -132 ✗ MISS
12 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Asts Pending
12 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Asts Pending
12 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Asts Pending

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