Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Duncan Robinson is Over 15.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 57%, versus the book's implied 41%, for a model edge of +15.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:52AM UTC
NBA

Duncan Robinson

Detroit Pistons

+15.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 15.5 +142 (2.42) · $100→$242
+15.3% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 10:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
56.6%
Implied Probability
41.3%
Model Edge
+15.3%
Predicted Value
16.6 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs56.6%41.3%1.77+15.3%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Duncan Robinson (Detroit Pistons) Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds (+142)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Duncan Robinson has quietly become a key player for the Miami Heat, and Sunday's matchup against the Orlando Magic offers a prime opportunity for him to shine. Playing at home, Robinson has averaged 16.6 points and 2.6 rebounds in his last five games, displaying a knack for stepping up when the spotlight is brightest. In fact, his performance against the Magic has been particularly strong, with an average of 10.8 points and 2.2 rebounds at home, allowing him to clear the 15.5 mark with relative ease. Over the past six games, he's hit this over four times, including all four home games. Given the Pistons' defense, which often struggles to contain perimeter shooting, Robinson is poised to exploit this matchup. Look for him to not just meet, but exceed expectations, making the Over on 15.5 points + rebounds a compelling bet to consider.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Duncan Robinson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 80 games in the 2024-25 season, Duncan Robinson averaged 10.6 points, 2.2 rebounds and 2.2 assists in 23.4 minutes per game, shooting 43.7% from the field and 39.2% from three-point range.

10.6
PPG
2.2
RPG
2.2
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
23.4
MPG
43.7%
FG%
39.2%
3P%

Duncan Robinson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Duncan Robinson has played 14.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

14.0
MPG (L5)
4.6
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Duncan Robinson — points hit rate

Duncan Robinson has scored over 11.5 points in 49% of 272 career games.

o11.549%
o12.543%
o15.529%
o20.514%

Duncan Robinson — home vs away scoring

At home Duncan Robinson averages 11.9 points per game; on the road, 9.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

11.9
PPG at home
9.3
PPG on the road

Duncan Robinson — scoring by opponent

Duncan Robinson scores most against the OKC, averaging 14.6 points per game in that matchup.

14.6
OKC
12.6
CHA
12.6
IND
12.6
DET
12.3
PHX
11.9
POR

Duncan Robinson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Duncan Robinson has averaged 8.1 points, 1.4 rebounds and 0.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
28 Aprvs CLE15010
26 Aprvs CLE18600
23 Apr@ CLE12301
20 Apr@ CLE15830
18 Apr@ ATL10611
16 Apr@ CHI17821
13 Aprvs WSH20622
11 Apr@ NO192120
9 Apr@ CHI18212
7 Aprvs PHI262121
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs + Asts 15.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Asts 13.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons 3-Pointers 4.5 Under -714 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs Pending
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs Pending
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebs + Asts Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Duncan Robinson (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Duncan Robinson is Over 15.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.3% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons on Sunday 19 April at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.