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Ausar Thompson

Detroit Pistons

+17.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +372 (4.72)
+17.4% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Sun 19 Apr, 10:30PM
Model Probability
38.6%
Implied Probability
21.2%
Model Edge
+17.4%
Predicted Value
17.5 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+372)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons host the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Ausar Thompson, especially with the spotlight shining bright at home. While his recent averages of 10.2 points and 5.6 rebounds at Little Caesars Arena don't immediately scream star, there's more to the story. Thompson has shown flashes of potential against the Magic, averaging 10.6 points and 7.4 rebounds over their last few matchups. With Detroit relying on him to step up, the home crowd might just fuel his performance to surpass that 19.5 mark. Historically, he's hitting this over 25% of the time at home, and with an expected stat value of 17.5, he's poised for a breakout. The combination of motivation, home court advantage, and the need for scoring makes this prop bet on Thompson an enticing play. Don't underestimate the spark he might ignite against Orlando!

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs 13.5 Over -116 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over +285 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs 15.5 Over -102 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Ausar Thompson is Over 19.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.4% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons on Sunday 19 April at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.