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Ausar Thompson

Detroit Pistons

Value call

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) has one live pick today: over 19.5 pts rebs that pays $472 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
39 in 100
Predicted
17.5 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 38.6% · the book's price implies 21.2% · gap +17.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 6:30 PM ET
Ausar Thompson
over 19.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +372 (4.72) · $100→$472
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 39 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$47.20 Odds+372
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ausar Thompson is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 39 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 39%, the price says 21%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 5:32AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs38.6%—21.2%2.59+17.4%

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AI Analysis

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Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+372)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Magic at home, Ausar Thompson is primed for a breakout performance that could see him exceed the combined points and rebounds line of 19.5. While his recent averages of 10.2 points and 5.6 rebounds at home might seem modest, the matchup against Orlando presents an opportunity for him to shine. Historically, he's been effective against the Magic, averaging 10.6 points and 7.4 rebounds in their last five meetings. With a home hit rate of 25% over the last 16 games, Thompson has shown flashes of potential that could easily be unleashed in this matchup. The Pistons will rely on him, especially in front of a home crowd that can elevate his game. Given that he's expected to contribute more in this crucial matchup, betting on him to go over 19.5 feels like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ausar Thompson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 65 games in the 2024-25 season, Ausar Thompson averaged 10.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists in 22.5 minutes per game, shooting 53.8% from the field and 21.6% from three-point range.

10.2
PPG
5.1
RPG
2.2
APG
1.6
SPG
0.7
BPG
22.5
MPG
53.8%
FG%
21.6%
3P%

Ausar Thompson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Ausar Thompson has played 22.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

22.6
MPG (L5)
11.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Ausar Thompson — home vs away scoring

At home Ausar Thompson averages 10.1 points per game; on the road, 10.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

10.1
PPG at home
10.3
PPG on the road

Ausar Thompson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Ausar Thompson has averaged 11.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
1 Mayvs NY231761
29 Apr@ NY292270
27 Aprvs NY22840
24 Aprvs NY18734
21 Apr@ NY21550
19 Apr@ NY231061
11 Aprvs MIL271171
10 Aprvs NY21341
7 Aprvs SAC291545
5 Aprvs MEM3118115
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs 13.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ausar Thompson is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.4% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons on Sunday 19 April at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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