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Ausar Thompson

Detroit Pistons

+15.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +233 (3.33)
+15.9% Edge
Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando
Mon 6 Apr, 11:00PM
Model Probability
46.0%
Implied Probability
30.0%
Model Edge
+15.9%
Predicted Value
18.8 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Magic, Ausar Thompson's potential to surpass the 19.5 points and rebounds mark is hard to ignore. Despite averaging only 8 points and 6.8 rebounds in his last five outings, something about this matchup against Orlando could unlock his game. Historically, he's managed to notch around 10 points and 7.8 rebounds against the Magic, showcasing his capability to elevate his performance when the stakes are high.Moreover, on the road, he's been slightly more productive, averaging 8.8 points and matching his rebound stats. The Magic aren't an impenetrable force either; they've given up solid performances to players in Thompson's role. With a model edge of almost 16%, it feels like this could be the night he steps up, especially given the backdrop of a crucial late-season game. Keep an eye on him as a key contributor; the Over is definitely worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 60.0% (6/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs 15.5 Over -115 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over +248 ✗ MISS
19 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards Rebounds 6.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
17 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards Rebounds Pending
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
28 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 60.0% (6/10). The latest model pick for Ausar Thompson is Over 19.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.9% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic on Monday 6 April at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.