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Ausar Thompson

Detroit Pistons

Value call

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) has one live pick today: under 20.5 pts rebs asts that pays $255 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
18.0 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.2% · before adjusting for past results 67.0% · the book's price implies 39.2% · gap +12.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Ausar Thompson
under 20.5 pts rebs asts
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 20.5 +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$25.50 Odds+155
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ausar Thompson is Under 20.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 39%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 9:25AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts67.0%52.2%39.2%1.92+27.8%

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons: Ausar Thompson Under 20.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (+155)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Ausar Thompson has been solid lately, but this game against the Philadelphia 76ers could be tough for him. The 76ers have a strong defense that allows fewer three-point attempts and grabs a lot of rebounds. This means Thompson might not get as many chances to score and collect boards. The bet here is for Thompson to finish with under 20.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined. While he has talent, facing a team that plays good defense and limits opponents' chances can make things tricky. The risk is that both teams are closely matched, which could mean more competitive play and possible surprises.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ausar Thompson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 65 games in the 2024-25 season, Ausar Thompson averaged 10.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists in 22.5 minutes per game, shooting 53.8% from the field and 21.6% from three-point range.

10.2
PPG
5.1
RPG
2.2
APG
1.6
SPG
0.7
BPG
22.5
MPG
53.8%
FG%
21.6%
3P%

Ausar Thompson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Ausar Thompson has played 22.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

22.6
MPG (L5)
11.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Ausar Thompson — home vs away scoring

At home Ausar Thompson averages 10.1 points per game; on the road, 10.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

10.1
PPG at home
10.3
PPG on the road

Ausar Thompson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Ausar Thompson has averaged 11.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
1 Mayvs NY231761
29 Apr@ NY292270
27 Aprvs NY22840
24 Aprvs NY18734
21 Apr@ NY21550
19 Apr@ NY231061
11 Aprvs MIL271171
10 Aprvs NY21341
7 Aprvs SAC291545
5 Aprvs MEM3118115
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Oct 26 Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons Points 2.5 Over -105 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs 13.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ausar Thompson is Under 20.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.8% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday 25 October at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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