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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ja Morant is Over 25.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 54%, edge +16.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 7:28PM UTC
NBA

Ja Morant

Memphis Grizzlies

+16.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Over 25.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
+16.2% Edge
Memphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN · Indoor
Thu 18 Dec, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
28.9 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.3% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +16.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts70.3%—54.1%1.42+16.2%

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AI Analysis

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Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies) Over 25.5 Points + Assists (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Ja Morant to score over 25.5 points and assists is backed by his recent performance. Over the last five games, Morant has averaged 22.2 points and 5.4 assists in away games. This total of 27.6 is higher than the proposed outcome point of 25.5, indicating a favorable trend. Furthermore, when facing the Timberwolves, his average performance remains strong with 21 points and 7 assists in away games, totaling 28. This further supports the bet. Morant's overall and away hit rates, at 15/18 and 7/9 respectively, demonstrate his consistent ability to meet high expectations. In conclusion, the data suggests that Morant is likely to score over 25.5 points and assists in the upcoming game against the Timberwolves.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ja Morant — 2024-25 season averages

Over 55 games in the 2024-25 season, Ja Morant averaged 22.9 points, 4.0 rebounds and 7.1 assists in 30.3 minutes per game, shooting 44.9% from the field and 30.4% from three-point range.

22.9
PPG
4.0
RPG
7.1
APG
1.2
SPG
0.3
BPG
30.3
MPG
44.9%
FG%
30.4%
3P%

Ja Morant — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Ja Morant has played 30.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

30.0
MPG (L5)
19.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Ja Morant — points hit rate

Ja Morant has scored over 20.5 points in 48% of 205 career games.

o11.588%
o12.583%
o15.573%
o20.548%
o25.530%
o30.515%

Ja Morant — home vs away scoring

At home Ja Morant averages 22.6 points per game; on the road, 23.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

22.6
PPG at home
23.2
PPG on the road

Ja Morant — scoring by opponent

Ja Morant scores most against the SA, averaging 26.0 points per game in that matchup.

26.0
SA
25.9
UTAH
25.5
POR
24.8
LAL
23.8
DEN
23.8
GS

Ja Morant — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Ja Morant has averaged 25.0 points, 3.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
24 Aprvs OKC161515
22 Apr@ OKC402326
20 Apr@ OKC261734
18 Aprvs DAL332279
15 Apr@ GS352233
11 Apr@ DEN342126
10 Aprvs MIN363616
8 Apr@ CHA272858
3 Apr@ MIA323053
1 Aprvs GS333636
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ja Morant is Over 25.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.2% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday 18 December at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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