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Ja Morant

Portland Trail Blazers

Value call

Ja Morant (Portland Trail Blazers) has one live pick today: over 14.5 points that pays $176 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
18.5 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.4% · before adjusting for past results 77.8% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap -7.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 PM ET
Ja Morant
over 14.5 points
Points Over 14.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.60 Odds-132
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ja Morant is Over 14.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 57%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 10:01AM UTC
OUT
Morant has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 left hamstring strain and is expected to miss four weeks, Portland announced Friday.
updated Oct 30, 6:45PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points77.8%49.4%56.8%2.02+20.9%

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers: Ja Morant Over 14.5 Points (-132)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Lakers give up a lot of three-point attempts and rebounds, which could help Ja Morant find his rhythm. He's been scoring well lately, and the Lakers' defense can leave openings for him to get easy baskets. Both teams are looking to push the pace, so Morant should get plenty of chances to rack up points. Betting on him to score over 14.5 points looks promising since our numbers see him as a strong favorite to hit that mark. The biggest concern is that the Lakers have been decent at forcing turnovers, which could disrupt Morant's flow. Still, with the way he's been playing, he should be able to find the basket.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ja Morant — 2024-25 season averages

Over 55 games in the 2024-25 season, Ja Morant averaged 22.9 points, 4.0 rebounds and 7.1 assists in 30.3 minutes per game, shooting 44.9% from the field and 30.4% from three-point range.

22.9
PPG
4.0
RPG
7.1
APG
1.2
SPG
0.3
BPG
30.3
MPG
44.9%
FG%
30.4%
3P%

Ja Morant — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Ja Morant has played 30.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

30.0
MPG (L5)
19.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Ja Morant — points hit rate

Ja Morant has scored over 20.5 points in 48% of 205 career games.

o11.588%
o12.583%
o15.573%
o20.548%
o25.530%
o30.515%

Ja Morant — home vs away scoring

At home Ja Morant averages 22.6 points per game; on the road, 23.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

22.6
PPG at home
23.2
PPG on the road

Ja Morant — scoring by opponent

Ja Morant scores most against the SA, averaging 26.0 points per game in that matchup.

26.0
SA
25.9
UTAH
25.5
POR
24.8
LAL
23.8
DEN
23.8
GS

Ja Morant — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Ja Morant has averaged 25.0 points, 3.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
24 Aprvs OKC161515
22 Apr@ OKC402326
20 Apr@ OKC261734
18 Aprvs DAL332279
15 Apr@ GS352233
11 Apr@ DEN342126
10 Aprvs MIN363616
8 Apr@ CHA272858
3 Apr@ MIA323053
1 Aprvs GS333636
Quick answers:How many assists does Ja Morant average?How many points does Ja Morant average?How many rebounds does Ja Morant average?How many three-pointers does Ja Morant average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Oct 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers Points 14.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ja Morant (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ja Morant is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday 27 October at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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