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The latest Bet Better model pick for Paul George is Under 34.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts.
On the Pts + Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +20.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 8:11AM UTC
NBA

Paul George

Philadelphia 76ers

+20.2% Edge
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 34.5 -208 (1.48)
+20.2% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Wed 15 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.8%
Implied Probability
67.6%
Model Edge
+20.2%
Predicted Value
25.8 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts87.8%—67.6%1.14+20.2%

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AI Analysis

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Paul George (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers get set to take on the Orlando Magic, the spotlight shines on Paul George, but we're leaning toward the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 34.5. George has been struggling lately, averaging just 15 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 2.6 assists over his last five games. While he typically performs better at home, his recent numbers against the Magic tell a different story. He averages 26 points at home against them, yet in recent matchups, he's been held to just 17.8 points, not quite the explosive performer we're used to. Additionally, his overall hit rate at home is impressive, but he's hit the under in 5 of his last 5 games. Given these trends, it's wise to consider the under as George navigates a tough Orlando defense.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
2.0avg · last 10
L52.2Szn2.3Home2.9Away2.0Best10
1+88%
2+61%
3+39%
4+20%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2 · hi 4 · lo 0
2220312431

Paul George is averaging 2.0 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.3, best 10). He clears 2+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
14.2avg · last 10
L516.6Szn16.2Home18.1Away15.0Best47
6+93%
11+80%
16+44%
21+24%
26+15%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 14.2 · hi 25 · lo 2
141214217151925177

Paul George is averaging 14.2 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 16.2, best 47). He clears 16+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
17.7avg · last 10
L520.8Szn20.6Home22.3Away19.4Best57
11+93%
16+73%
21+39%
26+24%
31+20%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 17.7 · hi 32 · lo 6
1418166191721322113

Paul George is averaging 17.7 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.6, best 57). He clears 21+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
19.1avg · last 10
L523.0Szn21.6Home23.8Away20.1Best62
12+90%
17+68%
22+39%
27+24%
32+17%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 19.1 · hi 33 · lo 8
1517178192221332514

Paul George is averaging 19.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 21.6, best 62). He clears 22+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
22.6avg · last 10
L527.2Szn25.9Home28.1Away24.5Best69
16+88%
21+73%
26+41%
31+27%
36+20%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 22.6 · hi 40 · lo 12
15231912212423402920

Paul George is averaging 22.6 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.9, best 69). He clears 26+ in 41% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs + Asts 34.5 Under -208 ✓ HIT
15 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs 30.5 Under -208 ✓ HIT
15 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Asts 27.5 Under -179 ✓ HIT
15 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers Points — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Asts — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Paul George (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Paul George is currently on a 5-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Paul George is Under 34.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday 15 April at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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