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The latest Bet Better model pick for Paul George is Under 27.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 84%, implied 64%, edge +20.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 6:38PM UTC
NBA

Paul George

Philadelphia 76ers

+20.2% Edge
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 27.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
+20.2% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Wed 15 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
21.1 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 84.3% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap +20.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts84.3%—64.1%1.19+20.2%

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AI Analysis

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Paul George (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 27.5 Points + Assists (-179)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the 76ers host the Magic, targeting Paul George for under 27.5 points and assists feels like a savvy play. Over his last five outings, he's averaged just 15 points and 2.6 assists, well short of that lofty total. Even in the comforts of home, where he's been slightly more productive with 19.4 points and 4.2 assists, he still falls short of the mark. Against the Magic, he's averaged 17.8 points and 4.8 assists-solid numbers, but they don't quite stack up to the hefty line set for him. The fact that he's hit the under in five straight games and has a striking 15 out of 20 home games going under makes this bet all the more enticing. With an expected stat value of just 21.08, the numbers suggest that tonight, less might indeed be more for George.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Paul George — 2024-25 season averages

Over 41 games in the 2024-25 season, Paul George averaged 16.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists in 32.6 minutes per game, shooting 43.0% from the field and 35.8% from three-point range.

16.2
PPG
5.3
RPG
4.3
APG
1.8
SPG
0.5
BPG
32.6
MPG
43.0%
FG%
35.8%
3P%

Paul George — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Paul George has played 36.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

36.2
MPG (L5)
16.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Paul George — points hit rate

Paul George has scored over 20.5 points in 48% of 888 career games.

o11.580%
o12.577%
o15.567%
o20.548%
o25.529%
o30.515%

Paul George — home vs away scoring

At home Paul George averages 18.1 points per game; on the road, 15.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.1
PPG at home
15.0
PPG on the road

Paul George — scoring by opponent

Paul George scores most against the POR, averaging 28.2 points per game in that matchup.

28.2
POR
26.8
HOU
26.4
UTAH
25.4
PHX
25.0
NY
24.3
MIA

Paul George — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Paul George has averaged 14.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Mar@ MIN30776
1 Marvs GS391784
26 Feb@ NY422587
24 Febvs CHI301922
22 Febvs BKN401572
20 Febvs BOS291722
12 Feb@ BKN37264
11 Febvs TOR361432
9 Feb@ MIL291256
7 Feb@ DET301410
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Dec 25 Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Asts 18.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
14 Dec 25 Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks 3-Pointers 1.5 Over -192 ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Philadelphia 76ers @ Brooklyn Nets 3-Pointers 1.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Paul George (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Paul George is currently on a 5-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Paul George is Under 27.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday 15 April at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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