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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Paul George is Under 34.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 88 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 88%, implied 68%, edge +20.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 9:22PM UTC
NBA

Paul George

Philadelphia 76ers

+20.2% Edge
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 34.5 -208 (1.48) · $100→$148
+20.2% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Wed 15 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
88 in 100
Predicted
25.8 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 87.8% · the book's price implies 67.6% · gap +20.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts87.8%67.6%1.14+20.2%

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AI Analysis

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Paul George (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers get set to take on the Orlando Magic, the spotlight shines on Paul George, but we're leaning toward the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 34.5. George has been struggling lately, averaging just 15 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 2.6 assists over his last five games. While he typically performs better at home, his recent numbers against the Magic tell a different story. He averages 26 points at home against them, yet in recent matchups, he's been held to just 17.8 points, not quite the explosive performer we're used to. Additionally, his overall hit rate at home is impressive, but he's hit the under in 5 of his last 5 games. Given these trends, it's wise to consider the under as George navigates a tough Orlando defense.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Paul George — 2024-25 season averages

Over 41 games in the 2024-25 season, Paul George averaged 16.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists in 32.6 minutes per game, shooting 43.0% from the field and 35.8% from three-point range.

16.2
PPG
5.3
RPG
4.3
APG
1.8
SPG
0.5
BPG
32.6
MPG
43.0%
FG%
35.8%
3P%

Paul George — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Paul George has played 36.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

36.2
MPG (L5)
16.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Paul George — points hit rate

Paul George has scored over 20.5 points in 48% of 888 career games.

o11.580%
o12.577%
o15.567%
o20.548%
o25.529%
o30.515%

Paul George — home vs away scoring

At home Paul George averages 18.1 points per game; on the road, 15.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.1
PPG at home
15.0
PPG on the road

Paul George — scoring by opponent

Paul George scores most against the POR, averaging 28.2 points per game in that matchup.

28.2
POR
26.8
HOU
26.4
UTAH
25.4
PHX
25.0
NY
24.3
MIA

Paul George — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Paul George has averaged 14.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Mar@ MIN30776
1 Marvs GS391784
26 Feb@ NY422587
24 Febvs CHI301922
22 Febvs BKN401572
20 Febvs BOS291722
12 Feb@ BKN37264
11 Febvs TOR361432
9 Feb@ MIL291256
7 Feb@ DET301410
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Dec 25 Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Asts 18.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
14 Dec 25 Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks 3-Pointers 1.5 Over -192 ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Philadelphia 76ers @ Brooklyn Nets 3-Pointers 1.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Paul George (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Paul George is currently on a 5-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Paul George is Under 34.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday 15 April at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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