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The latest Bet Better model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 15.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +17.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NBA

De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs

+17.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 15.5 -244 (1.41)
+17.0% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.0%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+17.0%
Predicted Value
23.6 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs88.0%—70.9%1.14+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds (-244)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs prepare to host the New York Knicks, all eyes should be on De'Aaron Fox. With an impressive home hit rate of 11 out of his last 14 games, he's proven to elevate his performance in front of the home crowd. His recent averages reflect a solid uptick in scoring and rebounding, where he tallied 19.2 points and 3.6 rebounds against the Knicks at home. Considering Fox's consistent ability to rise to the occasion, especially with an expected stat value pushing over 23, it seems reasonable to expect him to surpass the 15.5 points + rebounds mark. The Knicks' defense poses some challenges, but Fox has shown he can navigate that, especially at home. Given his current form and the stakes of the game, betting on Fox to go over feels not just plausible, but promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
17.4avg · last 10
L519.8Szn23.5Home25.8Away21.4Best60
14+94%
19+76%
24+45%
29+24%
34+5%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 17.4 · hi 32 · lo 7
1315720201516221432

De'Aaron Fox is averaging 17.4 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.5, best 60). He clears 24+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
23.9avg · last 10
L527.2Szn29.9Home32.3Away27.6Best67
20+90%
25+74%
30+45%
35+26%
40+6%
Game log vs O 29.5avg 23.9 · hi 43 · lo 10
18241027242224252243

De'Aaron Fox is averaging 23.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 29.9, best 67). He clears 30+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
21.6avg · last 10
L524.2Szn28.3Home30.2Away26.6Best63
18+90%
23+76%
28+53%
33+31%
38+10%
Game log vs O 27.5avg 21.6 · hi 41 · lo 10
20181023241820241841

De'Aaron Fox is averaging 21.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 28.3, best 63). He clears 28+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
28.1avg · last 10
L531.6Szn34.7Home36.7Away32.8Best70
25+90%
30+71%
35+45%
40+29%
45+10%
Game log vs O 34.5avg 28.1 · hi 52 · lo 13
25271330282528272652

De'Aaron Fox is averaging 28.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 34.7, best 70). He clears 35+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.2avg · last 10
L54.4Szn4.8Home4.4Away5.2Best13
1+100%
3+89%
5+55%
7+18%
9+8%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.2 · hi 9 · lo 2
7333434249

De'Aaron Fox is averaging 4.2 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.8, best 13). He clears 5+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
1.0avg · last 10
L50.4Szn1.5Home1.5Away1.5Best6
1+69%
2+35%
3+21%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 6 · lo 0
1601001001

De'Aaron Fox is averaging 1.0 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.5, best 6). He clears 1+ in 69% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 15.5 Over -244 ✗ MISS
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points 13.5 Over -175 ✗ MISS
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points 12.5 Over -233 ✗ MISS
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 15.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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