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De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs

Value call

De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) has one live pick today: over 14.5 points that pays $176 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
18.5 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.4% · before adjusting for past results 78.7% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap -7.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Tue 27 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
De'Aaron Fox
over 14.5 points
Points Over 14.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.60 Odds-132
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 14.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 57%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 9:26AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points78.7%49.4%56.8%2.02+21.9%

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AI Analysis

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San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings: De'Aaron Fox Over 14.5 Points (-132)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The price for De'Aaron Fox to score over 14.5 points looks solid. Our numbers see him as a strong favorite to hit this mark. The San Antonio Spurs have been generous with points lately, allowing opponents to score quite a few. Plus, they give up a fair number of rebounds, which could give Fox more chances to score. One risk is that both teams have been similar in how they defend against threes and rebounds. If the game turns into a defensive battle, it might limit Fox's scoring chances. Still, with the way he's been playing and the Spurs' weaknesses, this bet is worth a shot.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

De'Aaron Fox — 2024-25 season averages

Over 62 games in the 2024-25 season, De'Aaron Fox averaged 23.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists in 36.2 minutes per game, shooting 46.3% from the field and 31.0% from three-point range.

23.5
PPG
4.8
RPG
6.3
APG
1.5
SPG
0.4
BPG
36.2
MPG
46.3%
FG%
31.0%
3P%

De'Aaron Fox — recent role

Across his last 5 games, De'Aaron Fox has played 32.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.4
MPG (L5)
19.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

De'Aaron Fox — points hit rate

De'Aaron Fox has scored over 20.5 points in 39% of 342 career games.

o11.581%
o12.575%
o15.562%
o20.539%
o25.522%

De'Aaron Fox — home vs away scoring

At home De'Aaron Fox averages 25.8 points per game; on the road, 21.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

25.8
PPG at home
21.4
PPG on the road

De'Aaron Fox — scoring by opponent

De'Aaron Fox scores most against the LAL, averaging 26.2 points per game in that matchup.

26.2
LAL
25.9
SA
25.3
DAL
25.0
ATL
24.8
WSH
24.7
MIN

De'Aaron Fox — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, De'Aaron Fox has averaged 17.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Marvs DAL4132911
10 Marvs DAL341448
9 Mar@ MIN272223
7 Mar@ SAC331648
4 Marvs BKN271537
2 Marvs OKC342044
1 Mar@ MEM352037
26 Feb@ HOU28733
25 Feb@ NO381539
23 Feb@ NO341375
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Oct 26 Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Points 11.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -109 ✓ HIT
27 Oct 26 Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs Points — — — Pending
27 Oct 26 Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs Points — — — Pending
27 Oct 26 Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.9% on this pick. Their next game is Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday 27 October at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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