De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-104)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAs the Spurs gear up to host the Mavericks, all eyes should be on De'Aaron Fox, particularly when it comes to his points and rebounds combined. Fox has shown a real knack for stepping up in home games, averaging an impressive 23.4 points and 5.4 rebounds against Dallas in their recent matchups. With a solid overall hit rate of 61% in his last 18 games and a perfect 75% at home in the last 12, it's clear he thrives on familiar turf. In his last five outings, he's been close to the mark, averaging 17 points and 4.2 rebounds, but against this particular opponent, he tends to elevate his game. The expected stat value for him sits at 21.47, suggesting there's more in the tank. With the home crowd behind him and the Mavericks' defense not quite up to par, taking the Over on 18.5 feels like a savvy move.