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De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs

Value call

De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) has one live pick today: over 13.5 points that pays $156 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
88 in 100
Predicted
20.2 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 87.6% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap +23.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sat 13 Jun, 8:30 PM ET
De'Aaron Fox
over 13.5 points
Points Over 13.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
Value call
HIGHWins about 88 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.60 Odds-179
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 13.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 88 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 88%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 5:49AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Fox (undisclosed) is considered a game-time decision for Saturday's preseason game against the Suns, Duane Rankin of The Arizona Republic reports.
updated Oct 10, 9:07PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points87.6%—64.1%1.14+23.5%

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AI Analysis

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De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) Over 13.5 Points (-179)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Spurs host the Knicks, all eyes should be on De'Aaron Fox, particularly when it comes to his scoring potential. With a history of lighting it up at home, Fox has consistently exceeded the 13.5-point mark, especially against the Knicks, where he averages a notable 19.2 points in their last matchups in San Antonio. Over his last five games, he's been on fire, averaging 14.4 points, with a home average around 11.8, suggesting he thrives on familiar turf.What stands out even more is his impressive hit rate; he's cleared this threshold in 10 of his last 14 home games and 14 out of his last 20 overall. With a projected stat value of 20.2, it's clear that Fox is poised to make a statement. Given the blend of his current form and the favorable matchup, betting on him to go over 13.5 points feels like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

De'Aaron Fox — 2024-25 season averages

Over 62 games in the 2024-25 season, De'Aaron Fox averaged 23.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists in 36.2 minutes per game, shooting 46.3% from the field and 31.0% from three-point range.

23.5
PPG
4.8
RPG
6.3
APG
1.5
SPG
0.4
BPG
36.2
MPG
46.3%
FG%
31.0%
3P%

De'Aaron Fox — recent role

Across his last 5 games, De'Aaron Fox has played 32.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.4
MPG (L5)
19.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

De'Aaron Fox — points hit rate

De'Aaron Fox has scored over 20.5 points in 39% of 342 career games.

o11.581%
o12.575%
o15.562%
o20.539%
o25.522%

De'Aaron Fox — home vs away scoring

At home De'Aaron Fox averages 25.8 points per game; on the road, 21.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

25.8
PPG at home
21.4
PPG on the road

De'Aaron Fox — scoring by opponent

De'Aaron Fox scores most against the LAL, averaging 26.2 points per game in that matchup.

26.2
LAL
25.9
SA
25.3
DAL
25.0
ATL
24.8
WSH
24.7
MIN

De'Aaron Fox — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, De'Aaron Fox has averaged 17.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Marvs DAL4132911
10 Marvs DAL341448
9 Mar@ MIN272223
7 Mar@ SAC331648
4 Marvs BKN271537
2 Marvs OKC342044
1 Mar@ MEM352037
26 Feb@ HOU28733
25 Feb@ NO381539
23 Feb@ NO341375
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points — — — Pending
13 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points — — — Pending
13 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 13.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Saturday 13 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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