Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 12.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 70%, edge +20.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 6:19PM UTC
NBA

De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs

+20.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 12.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+20.9% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
20.2 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.8% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap +20.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points90.8%69.9%1.10+20.9%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) Over 12.5 Points (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs prepare to host the New York Knicks, all eyes should be on De'Aaron Fox to light up the scoreboard. Currently averaging 14.4 points over his last five games, Fox has shown a knack for stepping up in high-pressure situations, especially at home where he's averaged a solid 11.8 points. But what's truly exciting is his trend against the Knicks; in his last five matchups with them, he's averaged 12.8 points, and when playing in San Antonio? That number jumps to an impressive 19.2. With a hit rate of 15 for his last 20 home games, it's clear he thrives on familiar turf. Given the expectation of 20.2 points for this outing and an implied probability of nearly 70%, betting on Fox to go over 12.5 feels not just justified, but downright promising. Don't miss out on this opportunity!

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

De'Aaron Fox — 2024-25 season averages

Over 62 games in the 2024-25 season, De'Aaron Fox averaged 23.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists in 36.2 minutes per game, shooting 46.3% from the field and 31.0% from three-point range.

23.5
PPG
4.8
RPG
6.3
APG
1.5
SPG
0.4
BPG
36.2
MPG
46.3%
FG%
31.0%
3P%

De'Aaron Fox — recent role

Across his last 5 games, De'Aaron Fox has played 32.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.4
MPG (L5)
19.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

De'Aaron Fox — points hit rate

De'Aaron Fox has scored over 20.5 points in 39% of 342 career games.

o11.581%
o12.575%
o15.562%
o20.539%
o25.522%

De'Aaron Fox — home vs away scoring

At home De'Aaron Fox averages 25.8 points per game; on the road, 21.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

25.8
PPG at home
21.4
PPG on the road

De'Aaron Fox — scoring by opponent

De'Aaron Fox scores most against the LAL, averaging 26.2 points per game in that matchup.

26.2
LAL
25.9
SA
25.3
DAL
25.0
ATL
24.8
WSH
24.7
MIN

De'Aaron Fox — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, De'Aaron Fox has averaged 17.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Marvs DAL4132911
10 Marvs DAL341448
9 Mar@ MIN272223
7 Mar@ SAC331648
4 Marvs BKN271537
2 Marvs OKC342044
1 Mar@ MEM352037
26 Feb@ HOU28733
25 Feb@ NO381539
23 Feb@ NO341375
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 12.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.