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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Goodwin is Under 8.5 on Rebs + Asts.
On the Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +27.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 23, 5:44PM UTC
NBA

Jordan Goodwin

Phoenix Suns

+27.2% Edge
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 8.5 +100 (2.00)
+27.2% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Goodwin (calf) agreed to a three-year, $19 million deal with the Suns on Sunday, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
updated Jun 21, 4:09PM UTC · 32d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.2%
Implied Probability
50.0%
Model Edge
+27.2%
Predicted Value
6.0 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts77.2%—50.0%1.29+27.2%

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AI Analysis

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Jordan Goodwin (Phoenix Suns) Under 8.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Suns head to Oklahoma City, all eyes will be on Jordan Goodwin, but betting on him to hit the over on 8.5 combined rebounds and assists might be a stretch. Lately, Goodwin's been averaging just 3.8 rebounds and a mere 0.8 assists in his last five games. Even in away games, where he typically does a bit better, he's only mustered 5 boards and 2.2 assists. Against the Thunder, his history isn't much brighter-averaging 4 rebounds and 1.6 assists over the last five matchups. With those numbers in mind, Goodwin's expected stat value hovers around 6.02, painting a clear picture that the under on 8.5 is a solid bet. His recent away performance shows he's hitting the under consistently, going 3 for 3. It looks like a night where less might just be more for Goodwin.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.5avg · last 10
L50.4Szn0.8Home0.6Away1.0Best5
1+42%
2+24%
3+6%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 2 · lo 0
0020120000

Jordan Goodwin is averaging 0.5 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.8, best 5). He clears 1+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.0avg · last 10
L53.0Szn5.0Home5.4Away4.5Best23
5+42%
10+18%
15+9%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 3 · hi 12 · lo 0
24603120030

Jordan Goodwin is averaging 3.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.0, best 23). He clears 5+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.4avg · last 10
L54.2Szn6.3Home7.0Away5.6Best27
1+88%
6+45%
11+24%
16+12%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 4.4 · hi 16 · lo 0
46706161031

Jordan Goodwin is averaging 4.4 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.3, best 27). He clears 6+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.4avg · last 10
L55.4Szn8.5Home9.1Away8.0Best40
4+76%
9+42%
14+21%
19+12%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 6.4 · hi 19 · lo 0
791029190152

Jordan Goodwin is averaging 6.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.5, best 40). He clears 9+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
7.8avg · last 10
L56.6Szn9.8Home10.6Away9.1Best43
5+76%
10+39%
15+21%
20+15%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 7.8 · hi 23 · lo 1
91111212231153

Jordan Goodwin is averaging 7.8 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.8, best 43). He clears 10+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
3.4avg · last 10
L52.4Szn3.5Home3.6Away3.5Best19
2+82%
4+45%
6+18%
8+9%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.4 · hi 7 · lo 0
5542670122

Jordan Goodwin is averaging 3.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.5, best 19). He clears 4+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
4.8avg · last 10
L53.6Szn4.9Home5.2Away4.6Best24
2+85%
5+48%
8+18%
11+6%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.8 · hi 11 · lo 1
77529111123

Jordan Goodwin is averaging 4.8 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.9, best 24). He clears 5+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts 8.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebounds 5.5 Under -139 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jordan Goodwin (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Jordan Goodwin is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jordan Goodwin is Under 8.5 on Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.2% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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