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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andre Drummond is Under 11.5 on Rebs + Asts.
On the Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +22.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 8:34PM UTC
NBA

Andre Drummond

Philadelphia 76ers

+22.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 11.5 -133 (1.75)
+22.7% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 5:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.9%
Implied Probability
57.1%
Model Edge
+22.7%
Predicted Value
8.7 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts79.9%—57.1%1.25+22.7%

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AI Analysis

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Andre Drummond (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 11.5 Rebounds + Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between the Boston Celtics and the Philadelphia 76ers, keep an eye on Andre Drummond's rebounding and assists prop set at 11.5. Considering his recent form, this bet seems enticingly low. Over the last five games, Drummond has averaged 11.2 rebounds, but when he's on the road, that number dips to 9-indicating a struggle to impact games away from home. Against the Celtics, his numbers are even more concerning, averaging just 7.6 rebounds and 1.2 assists in their most recent matchups. With the stakes high, and Boston's defense tightening, Drummond may find it tough to reach that combined total. Given the trends and his away performance, taking the under on his 11.5 looks like a savvy play. After all, the data favors a more subdued outing for the big man.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
17.3avg · last 10
L518.2Szn15.1Home15.9Away14.4Best56
5+98%
10+78%
15+50%
20+23%
25+8%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 17.3 · hi 43 · lo 8
159181624431119810

Andre Drummond is averaging 17.3 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.1, best 56). He clears 15+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
18.8avg · last 10
L519.6Szn15.9Home16.6Away15.4Best59
6+98%
11+75%
16+48%
21+25%
26+10%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 18.8 · hi 44 · lo 8
169182126441421811

Andre Drummond is averaging 18.8 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.9, best 59). He clears 16+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.4avg · last 10
L58.6Szn7.8Home7.9Away7.6Best26
4+85%
6+65%
8+50%
10+28%
12+15%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 8.4 · hi 18 · lo 2
7389141871026

Andre Drummond is averaging 8.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.8, best 26). He clears 8+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
9.9avg · last 10
L510.0Szn8.6Home8.6Away8.6Best28
3+95%
6+75%
9+45%
12+20%
15+10%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 9.9 · hi 19 · lo 2
838141619101227

Andre Drummond is averaging 9.9 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.6, best 28). He clears 9+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts 11.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Rebounds 9.5 Under +102 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 19.5 Under -222 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Rebounds — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andre Drummond (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andre Drummond is Under 11.5 on Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.7% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics on Sunday 19 April at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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