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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andre Drummond is Under 11.5 on Rebounds + Assists.
On the Rebounds + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +24.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:55AM UTC
NBA

Andre Drummond

Philadelphia 76ers

+24.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 11.5 -123 (1.81) · $100→$181
+24.6% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 5:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.9%
Implied Probability
55.2%
Model Edge
+24.6%
Predicted Value
8.7 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts79.9%—55.2%1.25+24.6%

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AI Analysis

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Andre Drummond (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 11.5 Rebounds + Assists (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the 76ers gear up to face the Celtics, targeting Andre Drummond for under 11.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy move. Despite Drummond's imposing presence, his recent performances tell a different story. In his last five games, he's averaged just 11.2 rebounds and 2.4 assists, which, when you do the math, puts him well below that 11.5 mark. On the road, these numbers dip further. He's pulling down only 9 rebounds away from home, and his assists remain stagnant at 2.4. Facing a strong Celtics defense, Drummond's historical stats against them show an average of just 7.6 rebounds and a mere 1.2 assists. With a hit rate of 58% on this prop over the last 12 games, it's clear that this matchup might not favor Drummond as much as one might expect. The under seems like a solid play

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
17.3avg · last 10
L518.2Szn15.1Home15.9Away14.4Best56
5+98%
10+78%
15+50%
20+23%
25+8%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 17.3 · hi 43 · lo 8
159181624431119810

Andre Drummond is averaging 17.3 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.1, best 56). He clears 15+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
18.8avg · last 10
L519.6Szn15.9Home16.6Away15.4Best59
6+98%
11+75%
16+48%
21+25%
26+10%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 18.8 · hi 44 · lo 8
169182126441421811

Andre Drummond is averaging 18.8 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.9, best 59). He clears 16+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.4avg · last 10
L58.6Szn7.8Home7.9Away7.6Best26
4+85%
6+65%
8+50%
10+28%
12+15%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 8.4 · hi 18 · lo 2
7389141871026

Andre Drummond is averaging 8.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.8, best 26). He clears 8+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
9.9avg · last 10
L510.0Szn8.6Home8.6Away8.6Best28
3+95%
6+75%
9+45%
12+20%
15+10%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 9.9 · hi 19 · lo 2
838141619101227

Andre Drummond is averaging 9.9 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.6, best 28). He clears 9+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts 11.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 16.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Rebounds 13.5 Under -556 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Rebounds — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andre Drummond (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andre Drummond is Under 11.5 on Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics on Sunday 19 April at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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