Tommy Troy (NA) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-417)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Padres welcome the Diamondbacks to Petco Park, Tommy Troy finds himself in a challenging spot. While he's shown flashes of potential, recent trends suggest he may struggle to cross home plate tonight. The Padres boast a formidable pitching staff, and their bullpen has been particularly stingy, allowing an average of just 3.6 runs per game at home.
Additionally, Troy’s recent at-bats have been less than inspiring, with a modest .220 average against left-handed pitching—an area where the Padres excel defensively. The Diamondbacks have also been inconsistent, and with the Padres’ starting pitcher bringing a solid strikeout rate, the odds of Troy notching a run look favorable.
With an implied probability of over 80% for him to stay under 0.5 runs, it feels like a calculated risk to lean toward the 'under' for Troy tonight.