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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tommy Troy is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On Batter - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 90%, implied 87%, edge +3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 22, 4:28PM UTC
MLB

Tommy Troy

MLB

+3.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -667 (1.15) · $100→$115
+3.1% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Fri 10 Jul, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 867 of 1,730 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Troy (shoulder) is likely to participate in extended spring training games this week, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
updated Aug 4, 2:27PM UTC · 18d old
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
90 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.1% · the book's price implies 87.0% · gap +3.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks90.1%87.0%1.11+3.1%

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AI Analysis

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Tommy Troy (NA) Under 0.5 Walks (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we head into this intriguing matchup between the Padres and the Diamondbacks, keep an eye on Tommy Troy’s propensity to draw walks—or rather, his recent struggles to do so. With the Padres' pitching staff boasting some impressive strikeout numbers, particularly their ace on the mound tonight, the odds of Troy getting on base via a walk seem slim. He’s faced a tough slate of pitchers lately, and the Padres are known for their aggressive approach that can stifle batters. Troy’s recent at-bats have shown a marked decline in his plate discipline, leading to an uptick in swing-and-miss rates. With the model predicting just 0.13 walks, the under on 0.5 looks like a smart play. Given the Padres' strength in pitching and Troy's current form, it’s tough to see him finding that elusive walk tonight. So, under 0.5 walks could be the way to go.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Tommy Troy is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tommy Troy is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on Friday 10 July at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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