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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tanner Bibee is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 92%, for a model edge of +7.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:27PM UTC
MLB

Tanner Bibee

CLE

+7.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -1111 (1.09)
+7.2% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Wed 1 Oct, 5:08PM
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs MIN @ CLE
updated Jul 20, 10:40PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
99.0%
Implied Probability
91.7%
Model Edge
+7.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed99.0%—91.7%1.01+7.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Tanner Bibee (CLE) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Tanner Bibee for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Bibee's last five games show an average of 4.8 hits allowed overall, 5 at home, and 4.8 against the Tigers specifically. These averages are well above the line of 1.5. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) averages are consistently around 5, providing ample opportunity for hits to occur. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further indicate a pattern of allowing hits. The fact that these averages and streaks are maintained across different conditions (overall, home, against the Tigers) adds to the reliability of the trend. Therefore, the data suggests a high likelihood of Bibee allowing more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.529%

Tanner Bibee MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak61L20100%
O 1.5100%
O 2.580%
O 3.570%
O 4.550%
O 5.520%
O 6.520%

Tanner Bibee MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak7L2080%
O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.550%

Tanner Bibee MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
3avg earned runs · L5
Streak2L2060%

Tanner Bibee MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 3 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
15.6avg outs · L5
Streak2L2085%

Tanner Bibee MLB outs: cleared over 14.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 15.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tanner Bibee (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tanner Bibee is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.2% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday 1 October at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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