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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tanner Bibee is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 57%, implied 63%, edge -6.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 3.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 2, 7:48AM UTC
MLB

Tanner Bibee

CLE

-6.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
-6.4% Edge
Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
56 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 56.1% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap -6.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed56.1%57.2%62.5%1.73-6.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/4
Last 10 games0/4

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AI Analysis

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Tanner Bibee (CLE) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cleveland Guardians play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tanner Bibee (CLE) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-167). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Tanner Bibee is averaging 4.8 hits, 1.6 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.8
Hits
1.6
HR
0.0
RBI
3.0
Runs
2.8
Walks
4.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Tanner Bibee has gone over 2.5 SO in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.550%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Tanner Bibee is averaging 4.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.0 in home games, including his recent form against DET.

4.8
Hits · Overall
5.0
Hits · Home
4.8
Hits · vs DET
1.6
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Home
0.6
HR · vs DET
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
16 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Walks Pending
16 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending

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About This Player

Tanner Bibee (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tanner Bibee is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of -6.4% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians on Friday 28 August at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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