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MLB

Seth Lugo

KCR

+3.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -1111 (1.09)
+3.8% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Sat 30 Aug, 12:10AM
Model Probability
95.5%
Implied Probability
91.7%
Model Edge
+3.8%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Seth Lugo (KCR) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Seth Lugo's recent performance data provides a compelling argument for betting on Over 2.5 hits allowed. His last five overall games show an average of 5.2 hits allowed, which is well above the betting line of 2.5. Even when focusing on home games, his average hits allowed remains high at 5. Furthermore, against the Detroit Tigers, his average hits allowed is also 5.2, maintaining consistency across variables. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's likely to allow more than 2.5 hits. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further support this trend. Therefore, based on this consistent pattern of allowing more than 2.5 hits, betting on Over 2.5 for Seth Lugo in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market seems a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

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