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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Reid Detmers is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 79%, implied 74%, edge +24.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 14, 12:02AM UTC
MLB

Reid Detmers

LAA

+24.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 3.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+24.0% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Wed 12 Aug, 1:38AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 629 of 1,212 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
98 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 97.5% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap +24.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks97.5%79.4%73.5%1.45+24.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Reid Detmers (LAA) Under 3.5 Walks Allowed (-278)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels prepare to face the Rangers, all eyes will be on Reid Detmers, who has shown remarkable control on the mound lately. His ability to limit walks has been a game-changer; in his last few starts, Detmers has consistently kept his walks well under 3.5, showcasing not just skill, but a growing confidence in his arsenal. The Rangers’ offense, while potent at times, has struggled against left-handed pitching, and with Detmers’ recent form, it’s hard to envision them forcing him into many deep counts. Moreover, Detmers’ command has improved significantly this season, as he’s been averaging less than two walks per game. With the Angels needing a strong performance to bolster their playoff hopes, expect Detmers to be sharp and focused, likely keeping those walks down and hitting that 'Under' with relative ease. Given the trends, it feels like a calculated play that aligns beautifully with the current matchup dynamics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Reid Detmers has gone over 5.5 SO in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Aug 26 Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -102 ✗ MISS
11 Aug 26 Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
11 Aug 26 Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Walks Pending
05 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
05 Aug 26 Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Reid Detmers (LAA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Reid Detmers is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.0% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday 12 August at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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