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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nolan Jones is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 93%, implied 90%, edge +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 total baseslanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 31, 9:21PM UTC
MLB

Nolan Jones

CLE

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -909 (1.11) · $100→$111
+2.9% Edge
Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Sun 7 Sep, 4:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 93.0% · the book's price implies 90.1% · gap +2.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases93.0%—90.1%1.07+2.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Nolan Jones (CLE) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Nolan Jones' performance data strongly supports the Under 0.5 bet in the Batter Stolen Bases market. His last five games' overall stolen base average is only 0.2, indicating he rarely steals bases. This trend is even more pronounced in away games, where his stolen base average drops to zero. His history against the Tampa Bay Rays also suggests a low likelihood of stealing a base, with an average of only 0.2 stolen bases in the last five games. Furthermore, his current overall hit streak is zero, suggesting he is not in form at the plate. While he does have a 21-game hit streak in away games, without being on base, his chances of stealing are significantly reduced. Therefore, based on these statistics, the Under 0.5 bet is a good choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Nolan Jones is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.2
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Nolan Jones has gone over 1.5 total bases in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Nolan Jones is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against DET.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
0.8
Hits · vs DET
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs DET
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nolan Jones (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nolan Jones is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday 7 September at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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