Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Liberatore is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 41 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 41%, the price says 47%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 Hlanded 4 of the last 10
Over 16.50 Outslanded 4 of the last 10
Over 17.50 Outslanded 4 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 9:33AM UTC
MLB

Matthew Liberatore

MLB

Value call

Matthew Liberatore has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 4.5 that pays $212 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 4.5 +112 (2.12) · $100→$212
Value call
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Wed 23 Sep, 10:41PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
41 in 100
Predicted
4.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 40.9% · before adjusting for past results 52.8% · the book's price implies 47.2% · gap -6.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts52.8%40.9%47.2%2.18+5.7%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Matthew Liberatore Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Matthew Liberatore Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+112). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Matthew Liberatore is averaging 5.0 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.0
Hits
0.2
HR
0.0
RBI
2.2
Runs
0.4
Walks
5.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Matthew Liberatore has gone over 2.5 SO in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Matthew Liberatore is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 2.8 in home games, including his recent form against CIN.

5.0
Hits · Overall
2.8
Hits · Home
0.4
Hits · vs CIN
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs CIN
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Sep 26 San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Over +108 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +105 ✓ HIT
23 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
23 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Matthew Liberatore is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Liberatore is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday 23 September at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.