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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Liberatore is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +26.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:41PM UTC
MLB

Matthew Liberatore

MLB

+26.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 +102 (2.02)
+26.6% Edge
Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Mon 13 Apr, 11:45PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.1%
Implied Probability
49.5%
Model Edge
+26.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts76.1%49.5%1.31+26.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Matthew Liberatore (NA) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Matthew Liberatore MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 6.510%
O 7.510%

Matthew Liberatore MLB hits allowedseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2avg earned runs · L5

Matthew Liberatore MLB earned runs: averaging 2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
15.6avg outs · L5
Streak2

Matthew Liberatore MLB outs: averaging 15.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Matthew Liberatore is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Liberatore is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.6% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs St. Louis Cardinals on Monday 13 April at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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