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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Liberatore is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 Hlanded 4 of the last 10
Over 16.50 Outslanded 4 of the last 10
Over 17.50 Outslanded 4 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 6:46AM UTC
MLB

Matthew Liberatore

MLB

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -135 (1.74) · $100→$174
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug, 6:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 57.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs——57.5%1.89—

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Matthew Liberatore Under 2.5 Pitcher - Earned Runs (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The odds for Matthew Liberatore to allow under 2.5 earned runs look pretty solid. The Cardinals have been decent at home, and Liberatore has shown he can handle the pressure, especially against a Pirates team that has struggled against left-handed pitchers. However, it's worth noting that both teams have won four out of their last ten games, so it could be a close one. Keep an eye on how the game starts, as any early runs could change the momentum. This bet could be a good shot, but nothing's guaranteed!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Matthew Liberatore is averaging 5.0 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.0
Hits
0.2
HR
0.0
RBI
2.2
Runs
0.4
Walks
5.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Matthew Liberatore has gone over 2.5 SO in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Matthew Liberatore is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 2.8 in home games, including his recent form against CIN.

5.0
Hits · Overall
2.8
Hits · Home
0.4
Hits · vs CIN
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs CIN
Quick answers:How many strikeouts does Matthew Liberatore average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +105 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +115 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
30 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
30 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matthew Liberatore is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Liberatore is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday 30 August at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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