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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matt Vierling is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 94 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 94%, implied 65%, edge +28.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 4, 1:31AM UTC
MLB

Matt Vierling

MLB

+28.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -189 (1.53) · $100→$153
+28.4% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Wed 22 Jul, 12:05AM
OUT
Vierling (adductor) encountered a setback recently when he suffered a heel injury, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
updated Aug 28, 8:13PM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
94 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 93.7% · the book's price implies 65.4% · gap +28.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases93.7%65.4%1.07+28.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/6

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AI Analysis

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Matt Vierling (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cubs gear up to face the Tigers, all eyes should be on Matt Vierling’s performance at the plate. While Vierling has shown flashes of potential, recent trends suggest that he’s likely to struggle against the Cubs’ pitching staff. Chicago's rotation has been particularly stingy at home, boasting a solid 3.50 ERA, which could stifle Vierling's chances of finding gaps. Moreover, Vierling has only managed an average of 0.5 total bases in his last few outings, reflecting a downturn in form. With the wind at Wrigley Field favoring pitchers on this July evening, it’s reasonable to expect that the Cubs’ arms will keep him in check. Given these dynamics, betting on Vierling to fall under 1.5 total bases seems like a shrewd move. The combination of his recent struggles and the Cubs' strong home performance paints a compelling picture for this wager.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Matt Vierling has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.520%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.510%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Matt Vierling is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matt Vierling is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.4% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Chicago Cubs on Wednesday 22 July at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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