Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marcell Ozuna is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:05PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks
Under 0.5
-244 (1.41) · $100→$141
+2.6% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Mon 3 Aug, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Implied Probability
70.9%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Walks | 73.6% | — | 70.9% | 1.36 | +2.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Marcell Ozuna (ATL) Under 0.5 Walks (-244)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Milwaukee Brewers play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Marcell Ozuna (ATL) Under 0.5 Walks (-244). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Recent form (last 5 games)
Marcell Ozuna is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis
Marcell Ozuna has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o0.5100%
o1.540%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Marcell Ozuna is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in home games, including his recent form against WSN.
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marcell Ozuna is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers on Monday 3 August at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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