Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joey Cantillo is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 71%, implied 58%, edge +12.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 11:52PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Under 4.5
-139 (1.72) · $100→$172
+12.7% Edge
New York Mets
@
Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Tue 4 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 629 of 1,212 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
71 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 70.9% · the book's price implies 58.1% · gap +12.7%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 70.9% | — | 58.1% | 1.41 | +12.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Joey Cantillo (CLE) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-139)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Cleveland Guardians play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Joey Cantillo (CLE) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-139). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.19 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Joey Cantillo (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joey Cantillo is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.7% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday 4 August at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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